Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ALIT / options

CURR (42) CNDT (29) AMWL (39) IMXI (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.17 +1.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.18

Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $247.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.18 (+0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 11.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALIT SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.1% FCF Margin ($250.0M FCF) & 33.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.36-4.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.98+6.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.58-4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.17-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALIT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALIT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.12) and Max Pain ($9.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $60.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ALIT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ALIT.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALIT)

✓Walkthrough of ALIT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ALIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $9.15H $9.48L $8.84C $9.17VOL 614.0K

RES: $28.34SUP: $6.17SMA50: $11.12SMA200: $16.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALIT Butterfly Map → + Track ALIT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALIT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALIT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #889 of 1011 ⚔️ CURR vs ALIT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALIT vs. CURR, CNDT, AMWL, IMXI)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) ranks #889 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #669 by equity capitalization ($247.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMXI leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while IMXI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and — gross margin. IMXI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ALIT at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALIT ACTIVE Alight Inc. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	33.8%	-35.0%	+1.44%	$247.0M	Benchmark Subject
CURR Currenc Group Inc.	D-	42/100	—	40.8%	-35.0%	-1.10%	$251.5M	/curr-vs-alit →
CNDT Conduent Incorporated	E	29/100	—	18.1%	-24.8%	-1.90%	$241.1M	/cndt-vs-alit →
AMWL American Well Corporation (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	+6.09%	$254.8M	/amwl-vs-alit →
IMXI International Money Express Inc.	B-	70/100	7.9x	—	23.5%	-1.94%	$259.5M	/imxi-vs-alit →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001809104

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.26B (-3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.33B , and -5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.10B, operating cash flow of $360.0M, and free cash flow of $250.0M (+90.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALIT closed FY2025 with $4.57B in total assets against $1.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.26B	-$3.10B	$360.0M	$250.0M	$4.57B	$1.99B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.33B	-$157.0M	$252.0M	$131.0M	$8.19B	$2.00B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.39B	-$345.0M	$386.0M	$386.0M	—	—

3. ALIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alight Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALIT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $9.17 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $247.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALIT ranks #889 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALIT compare to CURR and CNDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ALIT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $251.5M) and CNDT (Conduent Incorporated) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.8%, cap $241.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMXI leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while IMXI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALIT?

Per ALIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001809104), Alight Inc. (Class A) generated $2.26B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), -$3.10B in net income, and $250.0M in free cash flow against $4.57B in total assets and $1.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALIT last traded at $9.17 (+1.44% on volume of 504,431 shares), positioning the stock -17.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.12) and -42.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.02). Across its 52-week range of $7.93 to $57.40, ALIT sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.02 to $10.32).