Why ALIT Stock dropped -2.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$8.93 -2.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.87

Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $247.0M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Alight Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALIT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $8.93 (-2.62% 1D, market cap $247.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALIT ranks #874 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALIT compare to CURR and CNDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ALIT carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $251.5M) and CNDT (Conduent Incorporated) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.8%, cap $241.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMXI leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while IMXI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALIT?
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Per ALIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001809104), Alight Inc. (Class A) generated $2.26B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), -$3.10B in net income, and $250.0M in free cash flow against $4.57B in total assets and $1.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.87 (-0.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 11.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$61 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE ALIT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALIT SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.1% FCF Margin ($250.0M FCF) & 33.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$9.25-14.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$7.95+8.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$8.63+3.5% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$8.93-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALIT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALIT currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.02) and Max Pain ($9.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $60.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ALIT Stock dropped -2.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) dropped -2.62% to $8.93, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($7.93 – $58). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($7.93 – $58) with RSI-14 at 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 33.8% gross margin and $250.0M annual free cash flow.
Live ALIT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 12d ago
Alight to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results

CHICAGO, October 20, 2026--Alight, Inc. (NYSE: ALIT or "Alight") today announced it will release third quarter 2026 earnings results after market close on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, and management will host a webcast to

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALIT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALIT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ALIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $9.04H $9.17L $8.93C $8.93VOL 504.4K
RES: $28.40SUP: $6.05SMA50: $11.02SMA200: $15.90
$48.68$37.63$26.59$15.55$4.50RES $28.40SUP $6.05$8.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALIT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALIT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #874 of 1011 ⚔️ CURR vs ALIT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALIT vs. CURR, CNDT, AMWL, IMXI)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) ranks #874 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #669 by equity capitalization ($247.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMXI leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while IMXI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and — gross margin. IMXI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with ALIT at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALIT ACTIVE
Alight Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — 33.8% -35.0% -2.62% $247.0M Benchmark Subject
CURR
Currenc Group Inc.
E 31/100 — 40.8% -35.0% -5.36% $251.5M /curr-vs-alit →
CNDT
Conduent Incorporated
E 33/100 — 18.1% -24.8% -0.64% $241.1M /cndt-vs-alit →
AMWL
American Well Corporation (Class A)
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -15.02% $254.8M /amwl-vs-alit →
IMXI
International Money Express Inc.
D+ 58/100 7.9x — 23.5% +6.64% $259.5M /imxi-vs-alit →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001809104

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alight Inc. (Class A) (ALIT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.26B (-3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.33B , and -5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.10B, operating cash flow of $360.0M, and free cash flow of $250.0M (+90.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALIT closed FY2025 with $4.57B in total assets against $1.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.26B -$3.10B $360.0M $250.0M $4.57B $1.99B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.33B -$157.0M $252.0M $131.0M $8.19B $2.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.39B -$345.0M $386.0M $386.0M — —

3. ALIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Alight Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALIT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $8.93 (-2.62% 1D, market cap $247.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALIT ranks #874 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALIT compare to CURR and CNDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ALIT carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $251.5M) and CNDT (Conduent Incorporated) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.8%, cap $241.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMXI leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while IMXI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALIT?

Per ALIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001809104), Alight Inc. (Class A) generated $2.26B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), -$3.10B in net income, and $250.0M in free cash flow against $4.57B in total assets and $1.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALIT last traded at $8.93 (-2.62% on volume of 614,605 shares), positioning the stock -18.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.02) and -43.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.90). Across its 52-week range of $7.93 to $58.00, ALIT sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.81 to $10.05).

ALIT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ALIT stock moving today?

Why ALIT Stock dropped -2.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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