Stock Ratings / Industrials / ALG / dividends

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Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$146.74 +1.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.54

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (25% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.79B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $147.55 (+0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 9.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALG SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.14 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$152.42-1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$150.66-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$146.18+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$146.74+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, ALG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($159.57) or 200D SMA ($168.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($159.29) toward Bear Floor ($120.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

2.61% Total Yield

0.81% Cash ($1.19/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

14% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $18,078

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $472/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.3K

Yr 2

$11.9K

Yr 3

$12.7K

Yr 4

$13.4K

Yr 5

$14.3K

Yr 6

$15.1K

Yr 7

$16.1K

Yr 8

$17.0K

Yr 9

$18.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ALG & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ALG and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ALG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.39%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $146.2H $148.0L $144.3C $146.7VOL 149.3K

RES: $172.5SUP: $146.8SMA50: $159.6SMA200: $168.8

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALG Butterfly Map → + Track ALG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALG)

Industrials Rank #17 of 485 ⚔️ RUN vs ALG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ALG vs. RUN, ATS, SPB, MFP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) ranks #17 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #219 by equity capitalization ($1.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALG leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while ALG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. ALG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALG ACTIVE Alamo Group Inc.	B+	77/100	17.2x	24.8%	14.3%	+1.70%	$1.79B	Benchmark Subject
RUN Sunrun Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-3.2%	+2.29%	$1.83B	/run-vs-alg →
ATS ATS Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.42%	$1.85B	/ats-vs-alg →
SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.	C+	66/100	18.8x	36.7%	4.2%	+2.32%	$1.87B	/spb-vs-alg →
MFP Midera Food Processing Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.83%	$1.88B	/mfp-vs-alg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000897077

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (-1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.63B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $103.8M, operating cash flow of $177.5M, and free cash flow of $146.9M (-20.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALG closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.14, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.60B	$103.8M	$177.5M	$146.9M	$1.61B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.63B	$115.9M	$209.8M	$184.8M	$1.45B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.69B	$136.2M	$131.2M	$131.2M	—	—

3. ALG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE: ALG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $146.74 (+1.70% 1D, market cap $1.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ALG ranks #17 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALG compare to RUN and ATS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALG carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.2x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 14.3%. By comparison, RUN (Sunrun Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $1.83B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALG?

Per ALG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000897077), Alamo Group Inc. generated $1.60B in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $103.8M in net income, and $146.9M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALG last traded at $146.74 (+1.70% on volume of 144,446 shares), positioning the stock -8.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($159.57) and -13.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($168.81). Across its 52-week range of $142.84 to $219.88, ALG sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($138.52 to $154.96).

ALG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ALG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) offers a 0.81% cash dividend yield ($1.19 annualized) and 2.61% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALG RQD Cockpit ALG 12M Forecast ALG Earnings & Move ALG Dividends & DRIP ALG Insiders & 13F ALG Whale Options ALG Profit Sankey ALG News & Why