Stock Ratings / Financials / AHT / options

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Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.65 +0.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $17.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65 (-0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AHT SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 28% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.17-15.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.83+54.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.82-6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.65-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AHT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AHT currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.66) and Max Pain ($2.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AHT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AHT.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AHT)

✓Walkthrough of AHT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.60H $2.67L $2.45C $2.65VOL 170.8K

RES: $3.18SUP: $1.54SMA50: $2.66SMA200: $3.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AHT Butterfly Map → + Track AHT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHT)

Financials Rank #951 of 1096 ⚔️ MDRR vs AHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AHT vs. MDRR, NYC, LFT, GPMT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) ranks #951 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #1063 by equity capitalization ($17.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AHT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with AHT at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AHT ACTIVE Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc	D	44/100	—	—	85.0%	+0.38%	$17.1M	Benchmark Subject
MDRR Medalist Diversified Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	6.4%	0.00%	$17.1M	/mdrr-vs-aht →
NYC American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	—	5.5%	0.00%	$18.4M	/nyc-vs-aht →
LFT Lument Finance Trust Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-1.3%	-1.27%	$20.5M	/lft-vs-aht →
GPMT Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	-7.4%	-2.00%	$21.2M	/gpmt-vs-aht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001232582

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.10B (-5.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and -19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$179.8M, operating cash flow of -$15.7M, and free cash flow of -$15.7M (+33.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AHT closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.10B	-$179.8M	-$15.7M	-$15.7M	$2.83B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.17B	-$60.3M	-$23.6M	-$23.6M	$3.16B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.37B	-$178.5M	$14.4M	$14.4M	—	—

3. AHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (NYSE: AHT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.65 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $17.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AHT ranks #951 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AHT compare to MDRR and NYC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AHT carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MDRR (Medalist Diversified Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $17.1M) and NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHT?

Per AHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001232582), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc generated $1.10B in revenue (-5.8% YoY), -$179.8M in net income, and -$15.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHT last traded at $2.65 (+0.38% on volume of 54,257 shares), positioning the stock -0.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.66) and -13.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.05). Across its 52-week range of $1.74 to $5.00, AHT sits at the 27.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.32 to $2.98).

AHT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AHT's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AHT.

Direct Sub-Reports: AHT RQD Cockpit AHT 12M Forecast AHT Earnings & Move AHT Dividends & DRIP AHT Insiders & 13F AHT Whale Options AHT Profit Sankey AHT News & Why