Stock Ratings / Financials / AHT / dividends

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Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.65 +0.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $17.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AHT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (NYSE: AHT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.65 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $17.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AHT ranks #900 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AHT compare to MDRR and NYC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AHT carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MDRR (Medalist Diversified Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $17.1M) and NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHT?

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Per AHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001232582), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc generated $1.10B in revenue (-5.8% YoY), -$179.8M in net income, and -$15.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65 (-0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AHT SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.85-0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.84+65.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$3.05-13.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.65-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AHT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AHT currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.65) and Max Pain ($2.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AHT)

✓Walkthrough of AHT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.56%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $2.64H $2.65L $2.64C $2.65VOL 54.3K

RES: $3.17SUP: $1.52SMA50: $2.65SMA200: $3.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AHT Butterfly Map → + Track AHT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHT)

Financials Rank #900 of 1096 ⚔️ MDRR vs AHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AHT vs. MDRR, NYC, LFT, GPMT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) ranks #900 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #1063 by equity capitalization ($17.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AHT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with AHT at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AHT ACTIVE Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc	D-	43/100	—	—	85.0%	+0.38%	$17.1M	Benchmark Subject
MDRR Medalist Diversified Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	6.4%	0.00%	$17.1M	/mdrr-vs-aht →
NYC American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	—	5.5%	0.00%	$18.4M	/nyc-vs-aht →
LFT Lument Finance Trust Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-1.3%	-1.27%	$20.5M	/lft-vs-aht →
GPMT Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-7.4%	-2.00%	$21.2M	/gpmt-vs-aht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001232582

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.10B (-5.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and -19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$179.8M, operating cash flow of -$15.7M, and free cash flow of -$15.7M (+33.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AHT closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.10B	-$179.8M	-$15.7M	-$15.7M	$2.83B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.17B	-$60.3M	-$23.6M	-$23.6M	$3.16B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.37B	-$178.5M	$14.4M	$14.4M	—	—

3. AHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AHT compare to MDRR and NYC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHT?

Where is AHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHT last traded at $2.65 (+0.38% on volume of 54,257 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.65) and -12.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.04). Across its 52-week range of $1.74 to $5.00, AHT sits at the 27.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.32 to $2.98).

AHT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does AHT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: AHT RQD Cockpit AHT 12M Forecast AHT Earnings & Move AHT Dividends & DRIP AHT Insiders & 13F AHT Whale Options AHT Profit Sankey AHT News & Why