Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AHMA / earnings

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Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A) (AHMA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.08 -3.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07

Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A) (AHMA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $32.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07 (-0.83%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHMA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AHMA SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 10.50 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 24.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.28-9.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.16-2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.13-4.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.08-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AHMA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AHMA currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.30) and Max Pain ($1.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHMA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AHMA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.14 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AHMA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $0.04 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.1%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$20.2M	$1.2M	-$1.1M	24.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$18.5M	$950.9K	$1.1M	23.8%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$18.6M	$1.4M	-$75.7K	24.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AHMA)

✓Walkthrough of AHMA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AHMA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.57%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.06H $1.25L $1.03C $1.08VOL 136.8K

RES: $1.79SUP: $1.00SMA50: $1.30SMA200: $4.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHMA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AHMA Butterfly Map → + Track AHMA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHMA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHMA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHMA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHMA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #739 of 1011 ⚔️ NIPG vs AHMA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AHMA vs. NIPG, AIFA, SLMT, SEAT)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A) (AHMA) ranks #739 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #850 by equity capitalization ($32.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AHMA leads on earnings valuation at 26.2x trailing P/E, while AHMA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 24.9% gross margin. NIPG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with AHMA at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AHMA ACTIVE Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A)	D	46/100	26.2x	24.9%	10.6%	-3.57%	$32.1M	Benchmark Subject
NIPG NIP Group Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-9.16%	$32.3M	/nipg-vs-ahma →
AIFA All In FutureTech Alliance Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$29.9M	/aifa-vs-ahma →
SLMT Solmate Infrastructure Public Limited Company (Class B)	D	47/100	—	—	—	-10.53%	$37.4M	/slmt-vs-ahma →
SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A)	D	45/100	—	—	—	+1.08%	$27.5M	/seat-vs-ahma →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002010959

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A) (AHMA) reported GAAP revenue of $20.2M (+9.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.5M , and +8.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.2M, operating cash flow of $496.5K, and free cash flow of -$1.1M (-198.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AHMA closed FY2025 with $15.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.50, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$20.2M	$1.2M	$496.5K	-$1.1M	$15.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$18.5M	$950.9K	$1.2M	$1.1M	$10.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$18.6M	$1.4M	-$75.7K	-$75.7K	—	—

3. AHMA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A) (NASDAQ: AHMA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $1.08 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $32.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AHMA ranks #739 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AHMA compare to NIPG and AIFA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), AHMA carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.2x, gross margin of 24.9%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, NIPG (NIP Group Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $32.3M) and AIFA (All In FutureTech Alliance Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHMA leads on earnings multiple (26.2x) while AHMA leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHMA?

Per AHMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002010959), Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A) generated $20.2M in revenue (+9.1% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and -$1.1M in free cash flow against $15.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AHMA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHMA last traded at $1.08 (-3.57% on volume of 38,562 shares), positioning the stock -16.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.30) and -73.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.03). Across its 52-week range of $0.76 to $39.50, AHMA sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.22).

AHMA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AHMA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A) (AHMA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AHMA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for AHMA, spanning a range between $1 and $1.22.

Direct Sub-Reports: AHMA RQD Cockpit AHMA 12M Forecast AHMA Earnings & Move AHMA Dividends & DRIP AHMA Insiders & 13F AHMA Whale Options AHMA Profit Sankey AHMA News & Why