Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SEAT

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Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell SEAT stock right now?

Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is SEAT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SEAT's 12-month base price target is $2.14 (range $1.67 to $13.47), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$2.35 +1.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.35

Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $27.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SEAT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SEAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SEAT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $2.35 (+1.08% 1D, market cap $27.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEAT ranks #777 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SEAT compare to AIFA and NOMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEAT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AIFA (All In FutureTech Alliance Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M) and NOMA (NOMADAR Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.6%, cap $24.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHMA leads on earnings multiple (26.2x) while AHMA leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEAT?

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Per SEAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001856031), Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) generated $450.5M in revenue (-30.5% YoY), $806.1M in net income, and -$93.8M in free cash flow against $636.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.35 (+0.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SEAT SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 27.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.84-3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.75-14.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.34+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.35-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SEAT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SEAT currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.02) and Max Pain ($2.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SEAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

27.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.35H: $13

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SEAT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SEAT

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEAT)

✓Walkthrough of SEAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SEAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $2.32H $2.35L $2.32C $2.35VOL 94.2K

RES: $8.82SUP: $1.78SMA50: $4.02SMA200: $6.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SEAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SEAT Butterfly Map → + Track SEAT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -30.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEAT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #777 of 1011 ⚔️ AIFA vs SEAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SEAT vs. AIFA, NOMA, AHMA, NIPG)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) ranks #777 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #871 by equity capitalization ($27.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AHMA leads on earnings valuation at 26.2x trailing P/E, while AHMA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 24.9% gross margin. AIFA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SEAT at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SEAT ACTIVE Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	—	+1.08%	$27.5M	Benchmark Subject
AIFA All In FutureTech Alliance Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$29.9M	/aifa-vs-seat →
NOMA NOMADAR Corp. (Class A)	E	23/100	—	51.7%	-29.6%	-3.59%	$24.6M	/noma-vs-seat →
AHMA Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A)	D-	42/100	26.2x	24.9%	10.6%	-3.57%	$32.1M	/ahma-vs-seat →
NIPG NIP Group Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	—	-9.16%	$32.3M	/nipg-vs-seat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001856031

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) reported GAAP revenue of $450.5M (-30.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $647.9M , and -24.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $806.1M, operating cash flow of -$91.6M, and free cash flow of -$93.8M (-288.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEAT closed FY2025 with $636.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$450.5M	$806.1M	-$91.6M	-$93.8M	$636.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$647.9M	$13.4M	$53.9M	$49.7M	$1.64B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$597.4M	$69.4M	$147.3M	$147.3M	—	—

3. SEAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SEAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SEAT compare to AIFA and NOMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEAT?

Where is SEAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SEAT last traded at $2.35 (+1.08% on volume of 94,191 shares), positioning the stock -41.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.02) and -63.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.38). Across its 52-week range of $2.03 to $12.83, SEAT sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.06 to $2.64).

SEAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SEAT stock right now?

Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SEAT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SEAT's 12-month base price target is $2.14 (range $1.67 to $13.47), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SEAT RQD Cockpit SEAT 12M Forecast SEAT Earnings & Move SEAT Dividends & DRIP SEAT Insiders & 13F SEAT Whale Options SEAT Profit Sankey SEAT News & Why