MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why AGMH Stock slipped -0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.52 -0.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.52
AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.52 (-0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGMH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGMH SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (36% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.91 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$0.53+0% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$0.53-7.5% Next Q
47
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$0.49+6.1% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D-$0.52-7% Hist 90D α
42
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGMH Turnaround Squeeze
While AGMH currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.72) and Max Pain ($0.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.51.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGMH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGMH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AGMH Stock slipped -0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) slipped -0.12% to $0.52, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.41 – $4.3). Stretched risk/reward at 5x P/E (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.41 – $4.3) with RSI-14 at 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.52 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 10.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AGMH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGMH)
- ✓Walkthrough of AGMH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AGMH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $0.51H $0.52L $0.50C $0.52VOL 71.8K
RES: $1.41SUP: $0.29SMA50: $0.72SMA200: $1.06
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AGMH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-14.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGMH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGMH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGMH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGMH)
Technology Rank #529 of 714
⚔️ PAVS vs AGMH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AGMH vs. PAVS, HTCR, CHR, MASK)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) ranks #529 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #693 by equity capitalization ($2.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASK leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while MASK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.9% ROIC and 49.8% gross margin. MASK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with AGMH at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGMH
ACTIVE
AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 4.8x | 10.3% | -9.5% | -0.12% | $2.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| PAVS Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | 16.5% | — | -0.68% | $2.5M | /pavs-vs-agmh → |
| HTCR Heartcore Enterprises Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | -33.7% | +9.86% | $2.4M | /htcr-vs-agmh → |
| CHR Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share | C- | 59/100 | — | 71.0% | 16.3% | +12.50% | $3.2M | /chr-vs-agmh → |
| MASK 3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A) | C | 63/100 | 4.7x | 49.8% | 17.9% | -4.28% | $3.6M | /mask-vs-agmh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001705402In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) reported GAAP revenue of $30.6M (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $32.0M , and -55.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $561.6K, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.1M (-157.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGMH closed FY2025 with $44.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $30.6M | $561.6K | -$4.1M | -$4.1M | $44.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $32.0M | $3.1M | $7.1M | $7.1M | $61.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $68.8M | -$7.4M | -$1.7M | -$1.7M | — | — |
3. AGMH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AGMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGMH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $0.52 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $2.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AGMH ranks #529 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AGMH compare to PAVS and HTCR in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AGMH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.8x, gross margin of 10.3%, and ROIC of -9.5%. By comparison, PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.5M) and HTCR (Heartcore Enterprises Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.7%, cap $2.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGMH?
Per AGMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705402), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $30.6M in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $561.6K in net income, and -$4.1M in free cash flow against $44.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AGMH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AGMH last traded at $0.52 (-0.12% on volume of 60,388 shares), positioning the stock -27.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.72) and -50.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.06). Across its 52-week range of $0.41 to $4.30, AGMH sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.59).
AGMH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AGMH stock moving today?
Why AGMH Stock slipped -0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 5x P/E (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.