AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.52 -0.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.52

AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.52 (-0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (15)SEC (9)Macro (8)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE AGMH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGMH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGMH SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.91 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$0.53+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$0.53-7.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$0.49+6.1% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$0.52-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGMH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AGMH currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.72) and Max Pain ($0.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGMH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGMH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AGMH Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AGMH)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AGMH. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGMH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AGMH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AGMH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $0.51H $0.52L $0.50C $0.52VOL 71.8K
RES: $1.41SUP: $0.29SMA50: $0.72SMA200: $1.06
$2.79$2.14$1.50$0.85$0.21RES $1.41SUP $0.29$0.522026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGMH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-14.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGMH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGMH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGMH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGMH)

Technology Rank #529 of 714 ⚔️ PAVS vs AGMH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AGMH vs. PAVS, HTCR, CHR, MASK)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) ranks #529 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #693 by equity capitalization ($2.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASK leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while MASK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.9% ROIC and 49.8% gross margin. MASK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with AGMH at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGMH ACTIVE
AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 4.8x 10.3% -9.5% -0.12% $2.7M Benchmark Subject
PAVS
Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)
D 47/100 — 16.5% — -0.68% $2.5M /pavs-vs-agmh →
HTCR
Heartcore Enterprises Inc.
D 46/100 — — -33.7% +9.86% $2.4M /htcr-vs-agmh →
CHR
Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share
C- 59/100 — 71.0% 16.3% +12.50% $3.2M /chr-vs-agmh →
MASK
3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A)
C 63/100 4.7x 49.8% 17.9% -4.28% $3.6M /mask-vs-agmh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001705402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) reported GAAP revenue of $30.6M (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $32.0M , and -55.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $561.6K, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.1M (-157.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGMH closed FY2025 with $44.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $30.6M $561.6K -$4.1M -$4.1M $44.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $32.0M $3.1M $7.1M $7.1M $61.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $68.8M -$7.4M -$1.7M -$1.7M — —

3. AGMH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGMH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $0.52 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $2.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AGMH ranks #529 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGMH compare to PAVS and HTCR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AGMH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.8x, gross margin of 10.3%, and ROIC of -9.5%. By comparison, PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.5M) and HTCR (Heartcore Enterprises Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.7%, cap $2.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGMH?

Per AGMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705402), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $30.6M in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $561.6K in net income, and -$4.1M in free cash flow against $44.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGMH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGMH last traded at $0.52 (-0.12% on volume of 60,388 shares), positioning the stock -27.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.72) and -50.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.06). Across its 52-week range of $0.41 to $4.30, AGMH sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.59).

AGMH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AGMH insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AGMH leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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