Stock Ratings / Technology / AGMH / earnings

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AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.52 -0.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.52

AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.52 (-0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGMH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AGMH SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.91 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$0.53+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.53-7.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.49+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$0.52-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGMH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AGMH currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.72) and Max Pain ($0.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGMH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AGMH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.07 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AGMH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 42/100

Trailing EPS: $0.21 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.6%

Model Bullish Setup (42/100)Model Risk Weight (58/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$30.6M	$561.6K	-$4.1M	10.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$32.0M	$3.1M	$7.1M	21.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$68.8M	-$7.4M	-$1.7M	10.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGMH)

✓Walkthrough of AGMH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AGMH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.51H $0.52L $0.50C $0.52VOL 71.8K

RES: $1.41SUP: $0.29SMA50: $0.72SMA200: $1.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGMH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGMH Butterfly Map → + Track AGMH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-14.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGMH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGMH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGMH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGMH)

Technology Rank #529 of 714 ⚔️ PAVS vs AGMH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AGMH vs. PAVS, HTCR, CHR, MASK)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) ranks #529 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #693 by equity capitalization ($2.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASK leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while MASK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.9% ROIC and 49.8% gross margin. MASK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with AGMH at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AGMH ACTIVE AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	4.8x	10.3%	-9.5%	-0.12%	$2.7M	Benchmark Subject
PAVS Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	16.5%	—	-0.68%	$2.5M	/pavs-vs-agmh →
HTCR Heartcore Enterprises Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-33.7%	+9.86%	$2.4M	/htcr-vs-agmh →
CHR Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share	C-	59/100	—	71.0%	16.3%	+12.50%	$3.2M	/chr-vs-agmh →
MASK 3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A)	C	63/100	4.7x	49.8%	17.9%	-4.28%	$3.6M	/mask-vs-agmh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001705402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) reported GAAP revenue of $30.6M (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $32.0M , and -55.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $561.6K, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.1M (-157.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGMH closed FY2025 with $44.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$30.6M	$561.6K	-$4.1M	-$4.1M	$44.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$32.0M	$3.1M	$7.1M	$7.1M	$61.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$68.8M	-$7.4M	-$1.7M	-$1.7M	—	—

3. AGMH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGMH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $0.52 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $2.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AGMH ranks #529 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGMH compare to PAVS and HTCR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AGMH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.8x, gross margin of 10.3%, and ROIC of -9.5%. By comparison, PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.5M) and HTCR (Heartcore Enterprises Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.7%, cap $2.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGMH?

Per AGMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705402), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $30.6M in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $561.6K in net income, and -$4.1M in free cash flow against $44.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGMH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGMH last traded at $0.52 (-0.12% on volume of 60,388 shares), positioning the stock -27.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.72) and -50.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.06). Across its 52-week range of $0.41 to $4.30, AGMH sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.59).

AGMH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AGMH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AGMH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for AGMH, spanning a range between $1 and $0.59.

Direct Sub-Reports: AGMH RQD Cockpit AGMH 12M Forecast AGMH Earnings & Move AGMH Dividends & DRIP AGMH Insiders & 13F AGMH Whale Options AGMH Profit Sankey AGMH News & Why