MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Shares of broader software stocks are trading lower amid broader market weakness as Treasury yields rise, weighing on tech stocks.Why AEVA Stock dropped -7.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$9.94 -7.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.80
Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $692.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.80 (-1.45%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEVA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AEVA SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (35% of score)
Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$13.66-26.6% Next Q
31
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$10.03+1.4% Next Q
28
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$10.17-2.3% Next Q
26
CurrentGrade E$9.94-11.1% Hist 90D α
23
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AEVA Turnaround Squeeze
While AEVA currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.74) and Max Pain ($10.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.87.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEVA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AEVA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AEVA Stock dropped -7.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) dropped -7.02% to $9.94, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($8.68 – $31.3). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($8.68 – $31.3) with RSI-14 at 30 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $9.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AEVA Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 5d ago
Ouster Q3 Earnings on Deck: Buy, Hold or Sell OUST Stock Now?Ouster's Q3 earnings loom as Rev8 demand accelerates and smart infrastructure expands, but premium valuation and persistent losses warrant caution.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Visteon (VC) Lags Q3 Earnings EstimatesVisteon (VC) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -91.56% and +3.73%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
RISK WATCHSeekingAlpha • 11d ago
Aeva Technologies: Pivoting To Optical Connectivity, But Core Risks Remain UnchangedAeva Technologies remains rated Hold due to modest revenue scale, high cash burn, and significant execution risk. Read more on AEVA stock here.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 12d ago
Aeva 4D LiDAR Certified as Sensys Gatso’s Secondary Speed Verification Solution for Public Roads Deployment in AustraliaMOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., October 20, 2026--Aeva® (Nasdaq: AEVA), a leader in next-generation sensing and perception systems, and Sensys Gatso, a global leader in traffic enforcement solutions, today announced that Aeva’s 4
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEVA)
- ✓Walkthrough of AEVA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AEVA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $9.30H $9.94L $8.68C $9.94VOL 2.54M
RES: $21.51SUP: $8.23SMA50: $13.74SMA200: $16.91
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AEVA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +99.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEVA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEVA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEVA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEVA)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #997 of 1011
⚔️ SMP vs AEVA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AEVA vs. SMP, APOG, DCH, CPS)
Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) ranks #997 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #553 by equity capitalization ($692.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AEVA at 23/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEVA
ACTIVE
Aeva Technologies Inc. | E | 23/100 | — | -3.7% | -35.0% | -7.02% | $692.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| SMP Standard Motor Products Inc. | C | 65/100 | 20.2x | 31.2% | 8.6% | +0.98% | $854.5M | /smp-vs-aeva → |
| APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 17.7x | 22.7% | 9.2% | +2.39% | $957.0M | /apog-vs-aeva → |
| DCH Dauch Corporation | D- | 40/100 | — | 12.1% | 2.2% | +1.84% | $1.19B | /dch-vs-aeva → |
| CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | 11.9% | 85.0% | -1.70% | $369.8M | /cps-vs-aeva → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001789029In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) reported GAAP revenue of $18.1M (+99.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.1M , and +319.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$145.0M, operating cash flow of -$115.1M, and free cash flow of -$119.7M (-6.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEVA closed FY2025 with $179.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $18.1M | -$145.0M | -$115.1M | -$119.7M | $179.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $9.1M | -$152.0M | -$106.9M | -$112.0M | $147.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.3M | -$149.0M | -$118.8M | -$118.8M | — | — |
3. AEVA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AEVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Aeva Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AEVA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $9.94 (-7.02% 1D, market cap $692.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEVA ranks #997 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AEVA compare to SMP and APOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), AEVA carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $854.5M) and APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $957.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEVA?
Per AEVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001789029), Aeva Technologies Inc. generated $18.1M in revenue (+99.4% YoY), -$145.0M in net income, and -$119.7M in free cash flow against $179.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AEVA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AEVA last traded at $9.94 (-7.02% on volume of 1,063,718 shares), positioning the stock -27.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.74) and -41.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.91). Across its 52-week range of $8.68 to $31.30, AEVA sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.70 to $11.18).
AEVA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AEVA stock moving today?
Why AEVA Stock dropped -7.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.