Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AEVA / forecast

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Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is AEVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aeva Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AEVA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $9.94 (-7.02% 1D, market cap $692.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEVA ranks #997 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does AEVA compare to SMP and APOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), AEVA carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $854.5M) and APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $957.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEVA?

Per AEVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001789029), Aeva Technologies Inc. generated $18.1M in revenue (+99.4% YoY), -$145.0M in net income, and -$119.7M in free cash flow against $179.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is AEVA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEVA last traded at $9.94 (-7.02% on volume of 1,063,718 shares), positioning the stock -27.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.74) and -41.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.91). Across its 52-week range of $8.68 to $31.30, AEVA sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.70 to $11.18).

Q: What is AEVA's 12-month stock price target?

Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.37 (-15.8% from $9.94), with a bull-case target of $32.87 and a bear-case floor of $6.53.

Q: Is AEVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AEVA E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 23/100.

$9.94 -7.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.80

Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $692.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.80 (-1.45%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEVA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AEVA SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$13.66-26.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$10.03+1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$10.17-2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$9.94-11.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AEVA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AEVA currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.74) and Max Pain ($10.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.87.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEVA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AEVA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 23%NO 77%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AEVA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.94: 1006.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.53

$6,569

$-3,431 (-34.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.37

$8,421

$-1,579 (-15.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $32.87

$33,068

+$23,068 (+230.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$9	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$31	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$7	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEVA)

✓Walkthrough of AEVA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AEVA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $9.30H $9.94L $8.68C $9.94VOL 2.54M

RES: $21.51SUP: $8.23SMA50: $13.74SMA200: $16.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEVA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AEVA Butterfly Map → + Track AEVA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +99.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEVA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEVA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEVA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEVA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #997 of 1011 ⚔️ SMP vs AEVA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AEVA vs. SMP, APOG, DCH, CPS)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) ranks #997 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #553 by equity capitalization ($692.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AEVA at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AEVA ACTIVE Aeva Technologies Inc.	E	23/100	—	-3.7%	-35.0%	-7.02%	$692.9M	Benchmark Subject
SMP Standard Motor Products Inc.	C	65/100	20.2x	31.2%	8.6%	+0.98%	$854.5M	/smp-vs-aeva →
APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B-	70/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	+2.39%	$957.0M	/apog-vs-aeva →
DCH Dauch Corporation	D-	40/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	+1.84%	$1.19B	/dch-vs-aeva →
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.	D	49/100	—	11.9%	85.0%	-1.70%	$369.8M	/cps-vs-aeva →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001789029

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) reported GAAP revenue of $18.1M (+99.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.1M , and +319.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$145.0M, operating cash flow of -$115.1M, and free cash flow of -$119.7M (-6.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEVA closed FY2025 with $179.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$18.1M	-$145.0M	-$115.1M	-$119.7M	$179.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$9.1M	-$152.0M	-$106.9M	-$112.0M	$147.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.3M	-$149.0M	-$118.8M	-$118.8M	—	—

3. AEVA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aeva Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AEVA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $9.94 (-7.02% 1D, market cap $692.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEVA ranks #997 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AEVA compare to SMP and APOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), AEVA carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $854.5M) and APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $957.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEVA?

Per AEVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001789029), Aeva Technologies Inc. generated $18.1M in revenue (+99.4% YoY), -$145.0M in net income, and -$119.7M in free cash flow against $179.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AEVA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEVA last traded at $9.94 (-7.02% on volume of 1,063,718 shares), positioning the stock -27.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.74) and -41.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.91). Across its 52-week range of $8.68 to $31.30, AEVA sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.70 to $11.18).

AEVA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AEVA's 12-month stock price target?

Aeva Technologies Inc. (AEVA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.37 (-15.8% from $9.94), with a bull-case target of $32.87 and a bear-case floor of $6.53.

Is AEVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AEVA E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 23/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AEVA RQD Cockpit AEVA 12M Forecast AEVA Earnings & Move AEVA Dividends & DRIP AEVA Insiders & 13F AEVA Whale Options AEVA Profit Sankey AEVA News & Why