Stock Ratings / Communication Services / ADEA / financials

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Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$22.48 -1.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.39

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.48B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ADEA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADEA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Adeia Inc. (NASDAQ: ADEA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $22.48 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, ADEA ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADEA compare to LBTYK and LBTYA in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Cable & Other Pay Television Services), ADEA carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.2%. By comparison, LBTYK (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class C)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.59B) and LBTYA (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADEA leads on earnings multiple (22.3x) while LILA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADEA?

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Per ADEA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001803696), Adeia Inc. generated $443.4M in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $111.1M in net income, and $156.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $397.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.39 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 35.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADEA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ADEA SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.03 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$23.89-14.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$20.42+3.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$21.21+6% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$22.48+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADEA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, ADEA faces multiple-compression risk if 22.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.40) or 200D SMA ($25.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.29) toward Bear Floor ($18.17).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADEA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ADEA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ADEA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$156.3M (35.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $388.8M

FY24

Rev $376.0M

FY25

Rev $443.4M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$443.4M	52%	39.5%	$111.1M	$156.3M	17.2%
FY 2024	$376.0M	52%	34.2%	$64.6M	$210.6M	13.2%
FY 2023	$388.8M	52%	35%	$67.4M	$152.8M	17.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADEA)

✓Walkthrough of ADEA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ADEA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.42%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $21.61H $22.48L $20.70C $22.48VOL 1.40M

RES: $24.22SUP: $19.13SMA50: $24.40SMA200: $25.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADEA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADEA Butterfly Map → + Track ADEA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADEA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADEA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADEA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADEA)

Communication Services Rank #21 of 132 ⚔️ LBTYK vs ADEA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (ADEA vs. LBTYK, LBTYA, LBTYB, LILA)

Industry: Cable & Other Pay Television Services (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adeia Inc. (ADEA) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #54 by equity capitalization ($2.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADEA leads on earnings valuation at 22.3x trailing P/E, while LILA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. LILA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ADEA at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ADEA ACTIVE Adeia Inc.	C+	66/100	22.3x	—	17.2%	-1.19%	$2.48B	Benchmark Subject
LBTYK Liberty Global Ltd. (Class C)	D-	43/100	—	65.8%	-0.1%	+0.40%	$2.59B	/lbtyk-vs-adea →
LBTYA Liberty Global Ltd. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	65.8%	-0.1%	+0.79%	$2.63B	/lbtya-vs-adea →
LBTYB Liberty Global Ltd. (Class B)	D	45/100	—	65.8%	-0.1%	-2.57%	$3.75B	/lbtyb-vs-adea →
LILA Liberty Latin America Ltd. (Class A)	C+	67/100	—	—	85.0%	+3.21%	$1.64B	/lila-vs-adea →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001803696

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Adeia Inc. (ADEA) reported GAAP revenue of $443.4M (+17.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $376.0M , and +14.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $111.1M, operating cash flow of $158.1M, and free cash flow of $156.3M (-25.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADEA closed FY2025 with $1.04B in total assets against $397.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.03, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$443.4M	$111.1M	$158.1M	$156.3M	$1.04B	$397.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$376.0M	$64.6M	$212.5M	$210.6M	$1.10B	$454.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$388.8M	$67.4M	$152.8M	$152.8M	—	—

3. ADEA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADEA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ADEA compare to LBTYK and LBTYA in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADEA?

Where is ADEA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADEA last traded at $22.48 (-1.19% on volume of 625,738 shares), positioning the stock -7.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.40) and -12.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.61). Across its 52-week range of $11.61 to $34.34, ADEA sits at the 47.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($20.46 to $24.50).

ADEA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Adeia Inc. (ADEA)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ADEA converted $443.4M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 39.5% operating margin, and $156.3M in free cash flow (35.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ADEA RQD Cockpit ADEA 12M Forecast ADEA Earnings & Move ADEA Dividends & DRIP ADEA Insiders & 13F ADEA Whale Options ADEA Profit Sankey ADEA News & Why