Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9% Move

$22.48 -1.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.48B
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$36 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADEA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9% Swing Band

±$2.02 Expected Swing
$20.46 (-9%)Spot $22.48$24.50 (+9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ADEA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $1.01 • YoY Revenue Growth: 17.9%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$443.4M$111.1M$156.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$376.0M$64.6M$210.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$388.8M$67.4M$152.8M52%
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ADEA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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ADEA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.42%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $21.61H $22.48L $20.70C $22.48VOL 1.40M
RES: $24.22SUP: $19.13SMA50: $24.40SMA200: $25.61
$35.49$30.72$25.96$21.19$16.42RES $24.22SUP $19.13$22.482026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADEA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADEA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADEA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADEA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADEA)

Communication Services Rank #21 of 132 ⚔️ LBTYK vs ADEA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (ADEA vs. LBTYK, LBTYA, LBTYB, LILA)

Industry: Cable & Other Pay Television Services (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adeia Inc. (ADEA) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #54 by equity capitalization ($2.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADEA leads on earnings valuation at 22.3x trailing P/E, while LILA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. LILA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ADEA at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADEA ACTIVE
Adeia Inc.
C+ 66/100 22.3x — 17.2% -1.19% $2.48B Benchmark Subject
LBTYK
Liberty Global Ltd. (Class C)
D- 43/100 — 65.8% -0.1% +0.40% $2.59B /lbtyk-vs-adea →
LBTYA
Liberty Global Ltd. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — 65.8% -0.1% +0.79% $2.63B /lbtya-vs-adea →
LBTYB
Liberty Global Ltd. (Class B)
D 45/100 — 65.8% -0.1% -2.57% $3.75B /lbtyb-vs-adea →
LILA
Liberty Latin America Ltd. (Class A)
C+ 67/100 — — 85.0% +3.21% $1.64B /lila-vs-adea →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001803696

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Adeia Inc. (ADEA) reported GAAP revenue of $443.4M (+17.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $376.0M , and +14.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $111.1M, operating cash flow of $158.1M, and free cash flow of $156.3M (-25.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADEA closed FY2025 with $1.04B in total assets against $397.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.03, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $443.4M $111.1M $158.1M $156.3M $1.04B $397.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $376.0M $64.6M $212.5M $210.6M $1.10B $454.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $388.8M $67.4M $152.8M $152.8M — —

3. ADEA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADEA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Adeia Inc. (NASDAQ: ADEA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $22.48 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, ADEA ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADEA compare to LBTYK and LBTYA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Cable & Other Pay Television Services), ADEA carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.2%. By comparison, LBTYK (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class C)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.59B) and LBTYA (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADEA leads on earnings multiple (22.3x) while LILA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADEA?

Per ADEA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001803696), Adeia Inc. generated $443.4M in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $111.1M in net income, and $156.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $397.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADEA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADEA last traded at $22.48 (-1.19% on volume of 625,738 shares), positioning the stock -7.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.40) and -12.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.61). Across its 52-week range of $11.61 to $34.34, ADEA sits at the 47.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($20.46 to $24.50).

ADEA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ADEA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Adeia Inc. (ADEA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ADEA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9% event move for ADEA, spanning a range between $20.46 and $24.5.

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