Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ACEL / dividends

FBYD (28) FUN (33) BUUU (61) RSVR (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$11.30 +1.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.32

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $917.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ACEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Accel Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: ACEL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $11.30 (+1.89% 1D, market cap $917.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ACEL ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACEL compare to FBYD and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), ACEL carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $930.1M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACEL?

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Per ACEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001698991), Accel Entertainment Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $51.5M in net income, and $62.0M in free cash flow against $1.10B in total assets and $569.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.32 (+0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ACEL SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($62.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.3) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$11.17-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$10.85+4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$11.28+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$11.30-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, ACEL faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.27) or 200D SMA ($11.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.25) toward Bear Floor ($8.78).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ACEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACEL)

✓Walkthrough of ACEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ACEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $11.09H $11.30L $11.09C $11.30VOL 331.8K

RES: $11.43SUP: $9.78SMA50: $11.27SMA200: $11.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACEL Butterfly Map → + Track ACEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACEL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #414 of 1011 ⚔️ FBYD vs ACEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ACEL vs. FBYD, FUN, BUUU, RSVR)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) ranks #414 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #520 by equity capitalization ($917.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. BUUU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ACEL at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ACEL ACTIVE Accel Entertainment Inc.	D+	57/100	17.8x	—	15.7%	+1.89%	$917.5M	Benchmark Subject
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	—	-22.8%	-0.39%	$930.1M	/fbyd-vs-acel →
FUN Six Flags Entertainment Corporation	E	33/100	—	91.3%	-19.3%	+1.86%	$785.8M	/fun-vs-acel →
BUUU BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share	C-	61/100	—	31.0%	—	-1.02%	$1.10B	/buuu-vs-acel →
RSVR Reservoir Media Inc.	D+	54/100	80.8x	64.7%	3.8%	+0.31%	$632.3M	/rsvr-vs-acel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001698991

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $51.5M, operating cash flow of $150.9M, and free cash flow of $62.0M (+13.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACEL closed FY2025 with $1.10B in total assets against $569.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$51.5M	$150.9M	$62.0M	$1.10B	$569.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$35.3M	$121.2M	$54.7M	$1.05B	$560.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$45.6M	$132.5M	$132.5M	—	—

3. ACEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ACEL compare to FBYD and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACEL?

Where is ACEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACEL last traded at $11.30 (+1.89% on volume of 331,772 shares), positioning the stock +0.27% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.27) and -3.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.71). Across its 52-week range of $9.55 to $14.00, ACEL sits at the 39.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($10.71 to $11.89).

ACEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ACEL pay a dividend and is it safe?

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: ACEL RQD Cockpit ACEL 12M Forecast ACEL Earnings & Move ACEL Dividends & DRIP ACEL Insiders & 13F ACEL Whale Options ACEL Profit Sankey ACEL News & Why