MARKET WIREFintel • 3d ago
ABM Industries Incorporated Chief Operating Officer Rene Jacobsen to Retire Effective February 1, 2027Why ABM Stock advanced +1.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$53.93 +1.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.94
ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.16B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.94 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABM SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.90 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.7) create a -12 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$49.63+3.1% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$51.15+4.9% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$53.67+0.5% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$53.93-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ABM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, ABM faces multiple-compression risk if 19.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.70) or 200D SMA ($44.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($53.20) toward Bear Floor ($41.50).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ABM Stock advanced +1.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) advanced +1.18% to $53.93, trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($36.96 – $54.87). Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($36.96 – $54.87) with RSI-14 at 66.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.3% around $53.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 12.3% gross margin and $155.1M annual free cash flow.
Live ABM Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
ABM Announces Executive Leadership ChangesRene Jacobsen to Retire as Chief Operating Officer After 14 Years of Service to ABMRichard Sykes named President, Facility SolutionsMark Hawkinson named President, Engineering & Infrastructure Solutions NEW YORK, Oct. 28
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 4d ago
ABM COO Rene Jacobsen To Retire, Effective Nov. 1ABM (NYSE: ABM), a leading provider of facility, engineering, and infrastructure solutions, today announced the following executive leadership changes, effective November 1, 2026, designed to drive continued growth
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MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
How Investors May Respond To ABM Industries (ABM) UK Public Sector Framework WinABM Industries has been appointed to two lots on the UK Government Commercial Agency’s Facilities Management and Security Services framework, giving public sector bodies simplified access to its hard FM and security offi
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABM)
- ✓Walkthrough of ABM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.18%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $54.60H $54.87L $53.24C $53.93VOL 519.3K
RES: $55.76SUP: $49.90SMA50: $49.70SMA200: $44.84
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ABM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABM)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #539 of 1011
⚔️ MGRC vs ABM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ABM vs. MGRC, VVX, CTOS, KFY)
Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) ranks #539 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #352 by equity capitalization ($3.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KFY leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while KFY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.2% ROIC and — gross margin. KFY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ABM at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABM
ACTIVE
ABM Industries Incorporated | D+ | 55/100 | 19.5x | 12.3% | 7.6% | +1.18% | $3.16B | Benchmark Subject |
| MGRC McGrath RentCorp | C | 65/100 | 18.6x | 48.2% | 15.6% | +0.69% | $2.91B | /mgrc-vs-abm → |
| VVX V2X Inc. | C | 63/100 | 32.4x | 8.3% | 7.1% | +4.02% | $2.52B | /vvx-vs-abm → |
| CTOS Custom Truck One Source Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | 28.5% | 4.1% | +1.39% | $2.48B | /ctos-vs-abm → |
| KFY Korn Ferry | B | 72/100 | 14.8x | — | 20.2% | +0.98% | $4.14B | /kfy-vs-abm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0000771497In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.75B (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.36B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $162.4M, operating cash flow of $234.4M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (-7.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABM closed FY2025 with $5.29B in total assets against $1.60B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.90, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-10-31 | $8.75B | $162.4M | $234.4M | $155.1M | $5.29B | $1.60B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-10-31 | $8.36B | $81.4M | $226.7M | $167.3M | $5.22B | $1.51B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-31 | $8.10B | $251.3M | $243.3M | $243.3M | — | — |
3. ABM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ABM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ABM Industries Incorporated (NYSE: ABM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $53.93 (+1.18% 1D, market cap $3.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ABM ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ABM compare to MGRC and VVX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ABM carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $2.91B) and VVX (V2X Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while KFY leads on capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABM?
Per ABM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0000771497), ABM Industries Incorporated generated $8.75B in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $162.4M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $5.29B in total assets and $1.60B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ABM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ABM last traded at $53.93 (+1.18% on volume of 271,220 shares), positioning the stock +8.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.70) and +20.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.84). Across its 52-week range of $36.96 to $54.87, ABM sits at the 94.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($51.61 to $56.25).
ABM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ABM stock moving today?
Why ABM Stock advanced +1.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.