Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ABM / financials

MGRC (65) VVX (63) CTOS (61) KFY (72) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$53.93 +1.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.94

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.16B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.94 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABM SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.90 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.7) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$49.63+3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$51.15+4.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$53.67+0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$53.93-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ABM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, ABM faces multiple-compression risk if 19.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.70) or 200D SMA ($44.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($53.20) toward Bear Floor ($41.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ABM Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$155.1M (1.8% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $8.10B

FY24

Rev $8.36B

FY25

Rev $8.75B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$8.75B	12.3%	3.6%	$162.4M	$155.1M	7.6%
FY 2024	$8.36B	12.4%	2.5%	$81.4M	$167.3M	5.2%
FY 2023	$8.10B	12.3%	5.1%	$251.3M	$243.3M	7.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABM)

✓Walkthrough of ABM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ABM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.18%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $54.60H $54.87L $53.24C $53.93VOL 519.3K

RES: $55.76SUP: $49.90SMA50: $49.70SMA200: $44.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABM Butterfly Map → + Track ABM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #539 of 1011 ⚔️ MGRC vs ABM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ABM vs. MGRC, VVX, CTOS, KFY)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) ranks #539 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #352 by equity capitalization ($3.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KFY leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while KFY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.2% ROIC and — gross margin. KFY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ABM at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABM ACTIVE ABM Industries Incorporated	D+	55/100	19.5x	12.3%	7.6%	+1.18%	$3.16B	Benchmark Subject
MGRC McGrath RentCorp	C	65/100	18.6x	48.2%	15.6%	+0.69%	$2.91B	/mgrc-vs-abm →
VVX V2X Inc.	C	63/100	32.4x	8.3%	7.1%	+4.02%	$2.52B	/vvx-vs-abm →
CTOS Custom Truck One Source Inc.	C-	61/100	—	28.5%	4.1%	+1.39%	$2.48B	/ctos-vs-abm →
KFY Korn Ferry	B	72/100	14.8x	—	20.2%	+0.98%	$4.14B	/kfy-vs-abm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0000771497

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.75B (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.36B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $162.4M, operating cash flow of $234.4M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (-7.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABM closed FY2025 with $5.29B in total assets against $1.60B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.90, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-10-31	$8.75B	$162.4M	$234.4M	$155.1M	$5.29B	$1.60B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-10-31	$8.36B	$81.4M	$226.7M	$167.3M	$5.22B	$1.51B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-31	$8.10B	$251.3M	$243.3M	$243.3M	—	—

3. ABM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ABM Industries Incorporated (NYSE: ABM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $53.93 (+1.18% 1D, market cap $3.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ABM ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABM compare to MGRC and VVX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ABM carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $2.91B) and VVX (V2X Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while KFY leads on capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABM?

Per ABM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0000771497), ABM Industries Incorporated generated $8.75B in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $162.4M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $5.29B in total assets and $1.60B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABM last traded at $53.93 (+1.18% on volume of 271,220 shares), positioning the stock +8.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.70) and +20.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.84). Across its 52-week range of $36.96 to $54.87, ABM sits at the 94.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($51.61 to $56.25).