RISK WATCHBenzinga • 5d ago
Shares of precious metals stocks are trading lower as markets react to President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.Why ABAT Stock slipped -1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.56 -1.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55
American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $222.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55 (-0.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABAT SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (41% of score)
Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (18% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.97-24.9% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.48-8.8% Next Q
39
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$1.35+15.6% Next Q
37
CurrentGrade E$1.56-8.7% Hist 90D α
34
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABAT Turnaround Squeeze
While ABAT currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.13) and Max Pain ($1.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.60.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ABAT Stock slipped -1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) slipped -1.27% to $1.56, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.27 – $5.33). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.27 – $5.33) with RSI-14 at 33.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.56 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ABAT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
American Battery Technology Maps U.S. Battery Metals Push With Recycling, Nevada LithiumAmerican Battery Technology (NASDAQ:ABAT) is advancing a U.S.-based battery-materials strategy built around lithium-ion battery recycling and the development of its Tonopah Flats Lithium Project in Nevada, Chief Financia
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABAT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ABAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.50H $1.56L $1.40C $1.56VOL 2.03M
RES: $2.80SUP: $1.18SMA50: $2.13SMA200: $2.93
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ABAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABAT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABAT)
Materials Rank #247 of 270
⚔️ IONR vs ABAT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ABAT vs. IONR, SND, PHOS, FEAM)
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #207 by equity capitalization ($222.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ABAT at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABAT
ACTIVE
American Battery Technology Company | E | 34/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -1.27% | $222.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| IONR ioneer Ltd | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +0.71% | $216.8M | /ionr-vs-abat → |
| SND Smart Sand Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 154.1x | 11.5% | -1.6% | -1.21% | $207.3M | /snd-vs-abat → |
| PHOS First Phosphate Corp. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -2.76% | $241.5M | /phos-vs-abat → |
| FEAM 5E Advanced Materials Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.81% | $127.1M | /feam-vs-abat → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001576873In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) reported GAAP revenue of $4.3M (+1149.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.5K ) , GAAP net income of -$46.8M, operating cash flow of -$28.9M, and free cash flow of -$28.9M (-72.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABAT closed FY2025 with $123.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $4.3M | -$46.8M | -$28.9M | -$28.9M | $123.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $343.5K | -$52.5M | -$16.7M | -$16.7M | $88.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $0 | -$21.3M | -$13.4M | -$13.4M | — | — |
3. ABAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ABAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, American Battery Technology Company (NASDAQ: ABAT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.56 (-1.27% 1D, market cap $222.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ABAT ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ABAT compare to IONR and SND in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), ABAT carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IONR (ioneer Ltd) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.8M) and SND (Smart Sand Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $207.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABAT?
Per ABAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001576873), American Battery Technology Company generated $4.3M in revenue (+1149.0% YoY), -$46.8M in net income, and -$28.9M in free cash flow against $123.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ABAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ABAT last traded at $1.56 (-1.27% on volume of 2,443,480 shares), positioning the stock -26.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.13) and -46.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.93). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $5.33, ABAT sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.36 to $1.76).
ABAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ABAT stock moving today?
Why ABAT Stock slipped -1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.