Stock Ratings / Materials / ABAT / forecast

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American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.56 -1.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55

American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $222.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55 (-0.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABAT SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (41% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (18% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.97-24.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.48-8.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.35+15.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.56-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABAT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABAT currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.13) and Max Pain ($1.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ABAT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.56: 6410.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.08

$6,923

$-3,077 (-30.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.39

$8,910

$-1,090 (-10.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $5.60

$35,897

+$25,897 (+259.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$5	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABAT)

✓Walkthrough of ABAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ABAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.50H $1.56L $1.40C $1.56VOL 2.03M

RES: $2.80SUP: $1.18SMA50: $2.13SMA200: $2.93

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABAT Butterfly Map → + Track ABAT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABAT)

Materials Rank #247 of 270 ⚔️ IONR vs ABAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ABAT vs. IONR, SND, PHOS, FEAM)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #207 by equity capitalization ($222.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ABAT at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABAT ACTIVE American Battery Technology Company	E	34/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-1.27%	$222.4M	Benchmark Subject
IONR ioneer Ltd	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+0.71%	$216.8M	/ionr-vs-abat →
SND Smart Sand Inc.	C-	59/100	154.1x	11.5%	-1.6%	-1.21%	$207.3M	/snd-vs-abat →
PHOS First Phosphate Corp.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-2.76%	$241.5M	/phos-vs-abat →
FEAM 5E Advanced Materials Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	+2.81%	$127.1M	/feam-vs-abat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001576873

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) reported GAAP revenue of $4.3M (+1149.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.5K ) , GAAP net income of -$46.8M, operating cash flow of -$28.9M, and free cash flow of -$28.9M (-72.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABAT closed FY2025 with $123.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$4.3M	-$46.8M	-$28.9M	-$28.9M	$123.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$343.5K	-$52.5M	-$16.7M	-$16.7M	$88.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$0	-$21.3M	-$13.4M	-$13.4M	—	—

3. ABAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Battery Technology Company (NASDAQ: ABAT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.56 (-1.27% 1D, market cap $222.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ABAT ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABAT compare to IONR and SND in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), ABAT carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IONR (ioneer Ltd) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.8M) and SND (Smart Sand Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $207.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABAT?

Per ABAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001576873), American Battery Technology Company generated $4.3M in revenue (+1149.0% YoY), -$46.8M in net income, and -$28.9M in free cash flow against $123.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABAT last traded at $1.56 (-1.27% on volume of 2,443,480 shares), positioning the stock -26.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.13) and -46.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.93). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $5.33, ABAT sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.36 to $1.76).

ABAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ABAT's 12-month stock price target?

American Battery Technology Company (ABAT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.39 (-10.9% from $1.56), with a bull-case target of $5.6 and a bear-case floor of $1.08.

Is ABAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ABAT E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 34/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ABAT RQD Cockpit ABAT 12M Forecast ABAT Earnings & Move ABAT Dividends & DRIP ABAT Insiders & 13F ABAT Whale Options ABAT Profit Sankey ABAT News & Why