Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AAL / financials

LTM (49) CPA (56) FDXF (45) ALK (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$12.78 +1.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.47B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How AAL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$640.5M (1.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $52.79B

FY24

Rev $54.21B

FY25

Rev $54.63B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$54.63B	52%	2.7%	$111.0M	$640.5M	29.5%
FY 2024	$54.21B	52%	4.8%	$846.0M	$1.54B	56.1%
FY 2023	$52.79B	52%	5.7%	$822.0M	$1.43B	6.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AAL)

✓Walkthrough of AAL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.21%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-01O $12.58H $12.78L $12.58C $12.78VOL 63.19M

RES: $12.86SUP: $11.48SMA50: $12.93SMA200: $13.51

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AAL Butterfly Map → + Track AAL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #253 of 304 ⚔️ LTM vs AAL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AAL vs. LTM, CPA, FDXF, ALK)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) ranks #253 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #183 by equity capitalization ($8.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FDXF leads on earnings valuation at 25.0x trailing P/E, while AAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CPA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with AAL at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AAL ACTIVE American Airlines Group Inc.	D+	53/100	76.3x	—	85.0%	+1.59%	$8.47B	Benchmark Subject
LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American	D	49/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.27%	$12.62B	/ltm-vs-aal →
CPA Copa Holdings S.A.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.05%	$5.40B	/cpa-vs-aal →
FDXF FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.	D	45/100	25.0x	—	8.3%	+1.25%	$16.40B	/fdxf-vs-aal →
ALK Alaska Air Group Inc.	D-	43/100	40.3x	—	2.9%	+1.60%	$4.03B	/alk-vs-aal →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000006201

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) reported GAAP revenue of $54.63B (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $54.21B , and +3.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $111.0M, operating cash flow of $3.10B, and free cash flow of $640.5M (-58.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AAL closed FY2025 with $61.77B in total assets against $14.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.74, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$54.63B	$111.0M	$3.10B	$640.5M	$61.77B	$14.46B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$54.21B	$846.0M	$3.98B	$1.54B	$61.78B	$14.46B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$52.79B	$822.0M	$3.80B	$1.43B	$63.35B	$14.82B

3. AAL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ: AAL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $12.78 (+1.59% 1D, market cap $8.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AAL ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AAL compare to LTM and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AAL carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $12.62B) and CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FDXF leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAL?

Per AAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000006201), American Airlines Group Inc. generated $54.63B in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $111.0M in net income, and $640.5M in free cash flow against $61.77B in total assets and $14.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AAL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AAL last traded at $12.78 (+1.59% on volume of 63,190,847 shares), positioning the stock -1.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.93) and -5.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.51). Across its 52-week range of $10.09 to $18.79, AAL sits at the 30.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($11.68 to $13.88).

AAL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), AAL converted $54.6B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 2.7% operating margin, and $640.5M in free cash flow (1.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: AAL RQD Cockpit AAL 12M Forecast AAL Earnings & Move AAL Dividends & DRIP AAL Insiders & 13F AAL Whale Options AAL Profit Sankey AAL News & Why