American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$12.78 +1.59% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.47B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$20 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $13.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AAL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.78: 782.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.46
$8,185
$-1,815 (-18.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.41
$10,493
+$493 (+4.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $19.73
$15,438
+$5,438 (+54.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1258%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live AAL Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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AAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.64H $12.64L $12.27C $12.60VOL 60.00M
RES: $19.28SUP: $11.50SMA50: $12.95SMA200: $13.53
$19.30$17.18$15.06$12.93$10.81RES $19.28SUP $11.50$12.602026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AAL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AAL's 12-month stock price target?

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.41 (+4.9% from $12.78), with a bull-case target of $19.73 and a bear-case floor of $10.46.

Is AAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AAL C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 69/100.