Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RICK

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RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$28.33 +0.46% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.30

RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $216.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.30 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 17.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RICK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RICK SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 67% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$26.07-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$25.67+5.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$27.16+4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$28.33-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RICK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, RICK faces multiple-compression risk if 20.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.87) or 200D SMA ($25.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.95) toward Bear Floor ($21.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RICK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RICK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

63.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.44>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE67% OF RANGE

L: $21$28.33H: $32

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on RICK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

5.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 22.82% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 1.44 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (67)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RICK

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RICK)

✓Walkthrough of RICK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RICK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.23%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $28.39H $28.47L $27.82C $28.33VOL 36.0K

RES: $35.71SUP: $25.20SMA50: $27.87SMA200: $25.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RICK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RICK Butterfly Map → + Track RICK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RICK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RICK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RICK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RICK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #549 of 1011 ⚔️ JACK vs RICK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RICK vs. JACK, RRGB, PLAY, PTLO)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) ranks #549 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #683 by equity capitalization ($216.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTLO leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while RRGB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RRGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RICK at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RICK ACTIVE RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.	D+	55/100	20.0x	—	5.6%	+0.46%	$216.6M	Benchmark Subject
JACK Jack In The Box Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	+9.40%	$249.9M	/jack-vs-rick →
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	5.7%	+3.78%	$176.4M	/rrgb-vs-rick →
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.	D-	42/100	—	85.7%	4.3%	+5.45%	$283.2M	/play-vs-rick →
PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A)	D	46/100	17.9x	—	4.9%	+10.96%	$376.7M	/ptlo-vs-rick →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000935419

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) reported GAAP revenue of $279.4M (-5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $295.6M , and -4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.8M, operating cash flow of $49.4M, and free cash flow of $49.4M (-11.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, RICK closed FY2025 with $590.3M in total assets against $222.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$279.4M	$10.8M	$49.4M	$49.4M	$590.3M	$222.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$295.6M	$3.0M	$55.9M	$55.9M	$586.2M	$217.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$293.8M	$29.1M	$59.1M	$59.1M	—	—

3. RICK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RICK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: RICK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $28.33 (+0.46% 1D, market cap $216.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RICK ranks #549 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RICK compare to JACK and RRGB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), RICK carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, JACK (Jack In The Box Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.9M) and RRGB (Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $176.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTLO leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while RRGB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RICK?

Per RICK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000935419), RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. generated $279.4M in revenue (-5.5% YoY), $10.8M in net income, and $49.4M in free cash flow against $590.3M in total assets and $222.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RICK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RICK last traded at $28.33 (+0.46% on volume of 29,232 shares), positioning the stock +1.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.87) and +9.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($25.79). Across its 52-week range of $20.76 to $32.00, RICK sits at the 67.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($26.40 to $30.26).

RICK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RICK stock right now?

RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RICK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RICK's 12-month base price target is $27.95 (range $21.8 to $33.6), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: RICK RQD Cockpit RICK 12M Forecast RICK Earnings & Move RICK Dividends & DRIP RICK Insiders & 13F RICK Whale Options RICK Profit Sankey RICK News & Why