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PagerDuty Inc. (PD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.94 -2.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.83

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.37B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, PagerDuty Inc. (NYSE: PD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $16.94 (-2.53% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PD ranks #186 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PD compare to ALKT and GTM in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.9x, gross margin of 84.9%, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $1.36B) and GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?

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Per PD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001568100), PagerDuty Inc. generated $492.5M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $172.7M in net income, and $111.9M in free cash flow against $990.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.83 (-0.65%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 22.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PD SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 1.2% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$16.24+2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$16.69+6.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$17.82-4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C$16.94+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, PD faces multiple-compression risk if 7.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 82.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.21) or 200D SMA ($10.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.40) toward Bear Floor ($13.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

61.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.43>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE91% OF RANGE

L: $6$16.94H: $18

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 34 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on PD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

6.8% ROIC with 84.9% gross margin and 8.19% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.43 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (77)

34/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PD

✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PD Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +128.30%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $17.95H $17.95L $16.94C $16.94VOL 1.51M

RES: $18.59SUP: $16.78SMA50: $15.21SMA200: $10.16

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PD Butterfly Map → + Track PD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PD)

Technology Rank #186 of 714 ⚔️ ALKT vs PD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PD vs. ALKT, GTM, RDVT, BBAI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PagerDuty Inc. (PD) ranks #186 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #330 by equity capitalization ($1.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PD leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. RDVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with PD at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PD ACTIVE PagerDuty Inc.	C	64/100	7.9x	84.9%	6.8%	-2.53%	$1.37B	Benchmark Subject
ALKT Alkami Technology Inc.	E	32/100	—	57.8%	-14.2%	-2.28%	$1.36B	/alkt-vs-pd →
GTM ZoomInfo Technologies Inc	D+	53/100	10.5x	84.0%	6.7%	-2.68%	$1.30B	/gtm-vs-pd →
RDVT Red Violet Inc.	B-	70/100	98.2x	—	16.1%	-0.57%	$1.29B	/rdvt-vs-pd →
BBAI BigBear.ai Inc.	E	28/100	—	22.3%	-27.5%	-2.62%	$1.29B	/bbai-vs-pd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001568100

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), PagerDuty Inc. (PD) reported GAAP revenue of $492.5M (+5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $467.5M , and +14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $172.7M, operating cash flow of $114.9M, and free cash flow of $111.9M (-2.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PD closed FY2025 with $990.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.43, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$492.5M	$172.7M	$114.9M	$111.9M	$990.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$467.5M	-$43.5M	$117.9M	$115.1M	$927.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$430.7M	-$77.4M	$72.0M	$72.0M	—	—

3. PD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PD compare to ALKT and GTM in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?

Where is PD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PD last traded at $16.94 (-2.53% on volume of 1,376,896 shares), positioning the stock +11.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.21) and +66.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.16). Across its 52-week range of $5.70 to $18.06, PD sits at the 90.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($15.64 to $18.24).

PD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PD stock right now?

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 85% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is PD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PD's 12-month base price target is $17.4 (range $13.57 to $20.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: PD RQD Cockpit PD 12M Forecast PD Earnings & Move PD Dividends & DRIP PD Insiders & 13F PD Whale Options PD Profit Sankey PD News & Why