Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.59 -0.56% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.60

Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (61% profit margin, 4% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ β€’ BUY Cap $255.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PCYO Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PCYO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-01, Pure Cycle Corporation (NASDAQ: PCYO) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $10.59 (-0.56% 1D, market cap $255.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 20/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, PCYO ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PCYO compare to GWRS and ARTNA in the Utilities sector?
β–Ό

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), PCYO carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 61.4%, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, GWRS (Global Water Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 79.0x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $233.7M) and ARTNA (Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $346.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARTNA leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PCYO?
β–Ό

Per PCYO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000276720), Pure Cycle Corporation generated $26.1M in revenue (-9.3% YoY), $13.1M in net income, and $13.2M in free cash flow against $168.1M in total assets and $7.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.60 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 50.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk A+
Cash (14)Whales (9)SEC (18)Macro (20)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$14 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PCYO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PCYO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PCYO SCORES 76/100 (B+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+20/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 32% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
84
Grade A$11.11-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
81
Grade A-$11.02-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
79
Grade A-$10.78-1.8% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$10.59+7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: A (84) β†’ B+ (76)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PCYO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, PCYO faces multiple-compression risk if 19.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 58.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.03) or 200D SMA ($10.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.45) toward Bear Floor ($8.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PCYOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPCYO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.730 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
7.62>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE32% OF RANGE
L: $10$10.59H: $12
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (61% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: A+RQD 38 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on PCYO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

4.4% ROIC with 61.4% gross margin and 5.16% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 7.62 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (73)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 20/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PCYO
  • βœ“Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • βœ“Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PCYO Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PCYO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.23%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $10.59H $10.76L $10.50C $10.59VOL 57.9K
RES: $11.13SUP: $10.43SMA50: $11.03SMA200: $10.91
$12.63$11.85$11.07$10.29$9.51RES $11.13SUP $10.43$10.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PCYO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PCYO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PCYO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PCYO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PCYO)

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (PCYO vs. GWRS, ARTNA, CDZI, CWCO)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) ranks #6 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #97 by equity capitalization ($255.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARTNA leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while CWCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 36.6% gross margin. CWCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with PCYO at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PCYO ACTIVE
Pure Cycle Corporation
B+ 76/100 19.5x 61.4% 4.4% -0.56% $255.2M Benchmark Subject
GWRS
Global Water Resources Inc.
D- 40/100 79.0x β€” 2.7% +0.52% $233.7M /gwrs-vs-pcyo β†’
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)
D+ 52/100 15.2x β€” 5.2% -0.86% $346.0M /artna-vs-pcyo β†’
CDZI
CADIZ Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 31.6% -23.1% -0.21% $398.8M /cdzi-vs-pcyo β†’
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
B+ 80/100 23.4x 36.6% 14.8% -0.89% $428.5M /cwco-vs-pcyo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-31 β€’ CIK 0000276720

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) reported GAAP revenue of $26.1M (-9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $28.7M , and +78.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.1M, operating cash flow of $13.2M, and free cash flow of $13.2M (+469.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PCYO closed FY2025 with $168.1M in total assets against $7.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.62, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $26.1M $13.1M $13.2M $13.2M $168.1M $7.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $28.7M $11.6M $2.3M $2.3M $149.7M $6.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $14.6M $4.7M -$2.3M -$2.3M β€” β€”

3. PCYO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PCYO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Pure Cycle Corporation (NASDAQ: PCYO) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $10.59 (-0.56% 1D, market cap $255.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 20/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, PCYO ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PCYO compare to GWRS and ARTNA in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), PCYO carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 61.4%, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, GWRS (Global Water Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 79.0x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $233.7M) and ARTNA (Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $346.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARTNA leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PCYO?

Per PCYO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000276720), Pure Cycle Corporation generated $26.1M in revenue (-9.3% YoY), $13.1M in net income, and $13.2M in free cash flow against $168.1M in total assets and $7.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PCYO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PCYO last traded at $10.59 (-0.56% on volume of 66,303 shares), positioning the stock -3.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.03) and -2.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.91). Across its 52-week range of $9.71 to $12.44, PCYO sits at the 32.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.4% ($10.12 to $11.06).

PCYO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PCYO stock right now?

Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy β€” BUY) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (61% profit margin, 4% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is PCYO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PCYO's 12-month base price target is $11.45 (range $8.68 to $13.51), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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