Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OI

PACK (42) GPK (69) SON (52) REYN (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell OI stock right now?

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is OI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OI's 12-month base price target is $4.91 (range $3.83 to $17.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$5.29 -6.04% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.22

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $814.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.22 (-1.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OI SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($168.0M FCF) & 17.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$6.08-4.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.83+11% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.47-18.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.29-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OI currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.28) and Max Pain ($5.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

30.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $5$5.29H: $17

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on OI

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

-10.0% ROIC with 17.3% gross margin and 20.63% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (35)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OI

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OI)

✓Walkthrough of OI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $5.29H $5.34L $5.00C $5.29VOL 6.60M

RES: $6.49SUP: $4.69SMA50: $6.28SMA200: $9.47

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OI Butterfly Map → + Track OI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #786 of 1011 ⚔️ PACK vs OI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OI vs. PACK, GPK, SON, REYN)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, O-I Glass Inc. (OI) ranks #786 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #534 by equity capitalization ($814.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while REYN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 24.6% gross margin. REYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with OI at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OI ACTIVE O-I Glass Inc.	D-	42/100	—	17.3%	-10.0%	-6.04%	$814.4M	Benchmark Subject
PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	39.3%	-2.2%	-10.05%	$291.6M	/pack-vs-oi →
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company	C+	69/100	5.9x	18.2%	7.8%	+3.16%	$2.61B	/gpk-vs-oi →
SON Sonoco Products Company	D+	52/100	4.9x	20.9%	11.4%	+2.34%	$4.93B	/son-vs-oi →
REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.	B	75/100	16.5x	24.6%	13.4%	+2.39%	$4.97B	/reyn-vs-oi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000812074

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), O-I Glass Inc. (OI) reported GAAP revenue of $6.43B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.53B , and -9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$129.0M, operating cash flow of $600.0M, and free cash flow of $168.0M (+231.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OI closed FY2025 with $9.24B in total assets against $4.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$6.43B	-$129.0M	$600.0M	$168.0M	$9.24B	$4.84B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.53B	-$106.0M	$489.0M	-$128.0M	$8.65B	$4.55B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.11B	-$103.0M	$818.0M	$818.0M	—	—

3. OI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $5.29 (-6.04% 1D, market cap $814.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #786 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $291.6M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?

Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OI last traded at $5.29 (-6.04% on volume of 5,406,576 shares), positioning the stock -15.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.28) and -44.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.47). Across its 52-week range of $5.00 to $16.91, OI sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($4.70 to $5.88).

OI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OI stock right now?

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is OI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OI's 12-month base price target is $4.91 (range $3.83 to $17.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OI RQD Cockpit OI 12M Forecast OI Earnings & Move OI Dividends & DRIP OI Insiders & 13F OI Whale Options OI Profit Sankey OI News & Why