Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JOUT

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Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$46.22 +2.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.32

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $484.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JOUT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $46.22 (+2.30% 1D, market cap $484.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #558 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JOUT compare to FNKO and JAKK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $374.6M) and JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $372.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?

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Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.32 (+0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JOUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JOUT SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($56.2M FCF) & 35.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.1) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$42.80-0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$42.66+6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$45.24+2.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$46.22-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JOUT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JOUT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($44.59) and Max Pain ($48.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $56.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JOUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JOUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

61.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.79>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE59% OF RANGE

L: $36$46.22H: $54

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (35% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on JOUT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

-4.5% ROIC with 35.1% gross margin and 11.60% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 3.79 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like JOUT

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JOUT)

✓Walkthrough of JOUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JOUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.98%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $45.18H $46.22L $45.18C $46.22VOL 32.7K

RES: $50.49SUP: $40.74SMA50: $44.59SMA200: $46.46

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JOUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JOUT Butterfly Map → + Track JOUT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JOUT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JOUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JOUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JOUT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #558 of 1011 ⚔️ FNKO vs JOUT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JOUT vs. FNKO, JAKK, BBW, ESCA)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) ranks #558 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #590 by equity capitalization ($484.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. ESCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with JOUT at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JOUT ACTIVE Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	35.1%	-4.5%	+2.30%	$484.4M	Benchmark Subject
FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-10.4%	+1.52%	$374.6M	/fnko-vs-jout →
JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc.	D-	39/100	—	96.0%	5.7%	-0.62%	$372.0M	/jakk-vs-jout →
BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.	C+	68/100	6.5x	55.8%	33.7%	+9.18%	$338.5M	/bbw-vs-jout →
ESCA Escalade Incorporated	B	75/100	20.2x	26.9%	8.0%	+8.63%	$277.2M	/esca-vs-jout →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0000788329

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported GAAP revenue of $592.4M (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $592.8M , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.3M, operating cash flow of $56.2M, and free cash flow of $56.2M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, JOUT closed FY2025 with $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-10-03	$592.4M	-$34.3M	$56.2M	$56.2M	$600.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-27	$592.8M	-$26.5M	$41.0M	$41.0M	$612.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-29	$663.8M	$19.5M	$41.7M	$41.7M	—	—

3. JOUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JOUT compare to FNKO and JAKK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?

Where is JOUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JOUT last traded at $46.22 (+2.30% on volume of 32,742 shares), positioning the stock +3.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.59) and -0.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.46). Across its 52-week range of $35.65 to $53.54, JOUT sits at the 59.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($43.68 to $48.76).

JOUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell JOUT stock right now?

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is JOUT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

JOUT's 12-month base price target is $44.56 (range $34.76 to $56.22), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: JOUT RQD Cockpit JOUT 12M Forecast JOUT Earnings & Move JOUT Dividends & DRIP JOUT Insiders & 13F JOUT Whale Options JOUT Profit Sankey JOUT News & Why