FutureFuel Corp. (FF) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.67 -0.35% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.66

FutureFuel Corp. (FF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $249.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FF Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE: FF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.67 (-0.35% 1D, market cap $249.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FF ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FF compare to ALTO and GEVO in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), FF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALTO (Alto Ingredients Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $283.1M) and GEVO (Gevo Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $299.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OEC leads on capital efficiency (2.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FF?
β–Ό

Per FF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001337298), FutureFuel Corp. generated $95.7M in revenue (-60.7% YoY), -$49.4M in net income, and -$46.0M in free cash flow against $200.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.66 (-0.25%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (13)SEC (7)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FF SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.9% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 66% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 59.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$5.20+7.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$5.59+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$5.72-0.9% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$5.67-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (31) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FF currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.38) and Max Pain ($5.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.34.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
59.630 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.84>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE66% OF RANGE
L: $3$5.67H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FF

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with -30.0% gross margin and -18.42% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 3.84 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FF
  • βœ“Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FF)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.71%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $5.80H $5.80L $5.67C $5.67VOL 478.5K
RES: $6.04SUP: $5.20SMA50: $5.38SMA200: $4.59
$7.21$6.29$5.36$4.44$3.51RES $6.04SUP $5.20$5.672026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -60.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FF)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (FF vs. ALTO, GEVO, LTBR, OEC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FutureFuel Corp. (FF) ranks #204 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #204 by equity capitalization ($249.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.2% ROIC and 19.9% gross margin. ALTO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with FF at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FF ACTIVE
FutureFuel Corp.
D- 39/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -0.35% $249.6M Benchmark Subject
ALTO
Alto Ingredients Inc.
D 46/100 β€” 3.8% 2.0% 0.00% $283.1M /alto-vs-ff β†’
GEVO
Gevo Inc.
E 24/100 β€” β€” -2.9% +3.31% $299.2M /gevo-vs-ff β†’
LTBR
Lightbridge Corporation
E 28/100 β€” β€” -9.1% -5.93% $202.3M /ltbr-vs-ff β†’
OEC
Orion S.A.
D- 39/100 β€” 19.9% 2.2% +1.08% $313.1M /oec-vs-ff β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001337298

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FutureFuel Corp. (FF) reported GAAP revenue of $95.7M (-60.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $243.3M , and -74.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$49.4M, operating cash flow of -$28.7M, and free cash flow of -$46.0M (-553.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FF closed FY2025 with $200.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.84, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $95.7M -$49.4M -$28.7M -$46.0M $200.3M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $243.3M $15.5M $24.8M $10.1M $247.7M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $368.3M $37.4M $21.3M $21.3M β€” β€”

3. FF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE: FF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.67 (-0.35% 1D, market cap $249.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FF ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FF compare to ALTO and GEVO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), FF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALTO (Alto Ingredients Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $283.1M) and GEVO (Gevo Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $299.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OEC leads on capital efficiency (2.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FF?

Per FF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001337298), FutureFuel Corp. generated $95.7M in revenue (-60.7% YoY), -$49.4M in net income, and -$46.0M in free cash flow against $200.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FF last traded at $5.67 (-0.35% on volume of 212,952 shares), positioning the stock +5.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.38) and +23.53% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.09 to $6.99, FF sits at the 66.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.9% ($5.22 to $6.12).

FF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FF stock right now?

FutureFuel Corp. (FF) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell β€” SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is FF's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FF's 12-month base price target is $5.19 (range $4.05 to $7.34), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FF β€” FutureFuel Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:56Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FF scores 39 out of 100 (letter grade D-), labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -18.42%), Whale 13F Flow at 13 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7 / 20 (Altman Z 3.84; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and the two fundamental-quality pillars, while Whale 13F Flow is the relative bright spot. For a prospective investor, the implication is that the cash-generation and insider-signal evidence currently points away from the thesis, and the stock's valuation cannot be framed on earnings because the source data does not provide P/E or EPS. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in negative free cash flow and operating losses; the 4.21% dividend yield should be weighed against negative FCF yield and a -51.6% net margin.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$95.7M$-53.0M$-49.4MN/A$-46.0M$51.3MN/A
FY 2024$243.3M$6.4M$15.5MN/A$10.1M$109.5MN/A
FY 2023$368.2M$27.4M$37.4MN/A$21.3MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is -30%, operating margin -55.3%, and net margin -51.6%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.84 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Revenue declined from $368.2M in FY 2023 to $95.7M in FY 2025 while the company moved from positive to negative operating income. Cash fell from $109.5M to $51.3M across FY 2024 to FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, five items from Stocktwits, StockInvest.us, TradingView (two items), Yahoo Finance, and MarketBeat were all flagged YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE label. One item announces the Third Quarter 2026 results conference call and webcast date, and another states a November 9 date for third-quarter 2026 results. The remaining items are general stock-analysis and price-forecast coverage, including one noting the share price breaking above its 200-day moving average. Risk watch items are not specified beyond the reported negative margins and cash flow in the financials. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present and no supply-chain links are recorded (supply chain: NONE).

Open Questions

  • What drove the decline from $368.2M revenue in FY 2023 to $95.7M in FY 2025, and is the operating loss expected to persist?
  • What are the company's EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, given that these are absent from the source data?
  • What is the debt balance, since FY debt is reported as N/A in every period?
  • What are the specific products, customers, and supply-chain relationships for FutureFuel?
  • What institutional, insider, or analyst positioning exists, given that the holders and analyst data sections are empty?

FF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FutureFuel Corp. (FF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $5.67?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.01 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FF (D- β€’ RQD 39/100) a Buy at $5.69?

Welcome to the FF (FutureFuel Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.67 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $5.69

Pump the brakes on FF β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -30.0% gross margins. Unless FutureFuel Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.88 (+20.9%)
Spot @ $5.69

FF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.69 (52-wk range $3.09 - $6.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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