Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BRSL

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Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.60 +3.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.64

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.77B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BRSL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (NYSE: BRSL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $9.60 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $1.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRSL ranks #821 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), BRSL carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GENI (Genius Sports Limited) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $1.73B) and PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 66.4x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRKS leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while PRKS leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

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Per BRSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001619762), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. generated $2.51B in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $147.0M in net income, and -$99.0M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $4.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.64 (+0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRSL SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.92-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.43+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.50+1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$9.60-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRSL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BRSL currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.26) and Max Pain ($10.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

45.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

1 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE

L: $9$9.60H: $18

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BRSL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

16.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -5.59% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (27)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BRSL

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRSL)

✓Walkthrough of BRSL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BRSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.46%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $9.29H $9.60L $9.29C $9.60VOL 2.23M

RES: $11.52SUP: $9.01SMA50: $10.26SMA200: $11.72

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRSL Butterfly Map → + Track BRSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRSL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #821 of 1011 ⚔️ GENI vs BRSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BRSL vs. GENI, PRSU, PRKS, STUB)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) ranks #821 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #431 by equity capitalization ($1.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRKS leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while PRKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PRSU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with BRSL at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRSL ACTIVE Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.	E	34/100	12.0x	—	16.8%	+3.34%	$1.77B	Benchmark Subject
GENI Genius Sports Limited	D-	40/100	—	23.0%	-26.9%	+1.73%	$1.73B	/geni-vs-brsl →
PRSU Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.	D+	53/100	66.4x	92.3%	3.9%	+3.04%	$1.51B	/prsu-vs-brsl →
PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc.	D	48/100	8.5x	—	17.2%	+1.97%	$1.43B	/prks-vs-brsl →
STUB StubHub Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	+3.93%	$2.22B	/stub-vs-brsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001619762

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.51B (-0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.51B , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.0M, operating cash flow of -$99.0M, and free cash flow of -$99.0M (-109.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSL closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.51B	$147.0M	-$99.0M	-$99.0M	$9.16B	$4.06B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.51B	$348.0M	$1.05B	$1.05B	$10.28B	$5.15B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.53B	$156.0M	$1.01B	$1.01B	—	—

3. BRSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

Where is BRSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRSL last traded at $9.60 (+3.34% on volume of 2,228,382 shares), positioning the stock -6.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.26) and -18.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.72). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $17.59, BRSL sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($8.96 to $10.24).

BRSL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BRSL stock right now?

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 34/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BRSL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BRSL's 12-month base price target is $8.56 (range $6.68 to $18.47), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BRSL RQD Cockpit BRSL 12M Forecast BRSL Earnings & Move BRSL Dividends & DRIP BRSL Insiders & 13F BRSL Whale Options BRSL Profit Sankey BRSL News & Why