Youlife Group Inc. (YOUL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.26 -10.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.25

Youlife Group Inc. (YOUL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $36.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.25 (-2.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE YOUL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YOUL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YOUL SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0.4% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$0.36-19.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$0.29-10.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$0.26+0% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$0.26-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YOUL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YOUL currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.40) and Max Pain ($0.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YOUL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YOUL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.03 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.26$0.29 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

YOUL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $0.17 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$265.2M$6.2M$1.7M10.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YOUL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YOUL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
YOUL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -72.63%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $0.26H $0.33L $0.20C $0.26VOL 528.5K
RES: $0.35SUP: $0.32SMA50: $0.40SMA200: $0.74
$1.66$1.26$0.87$0.47$0.08RES $0.35SUP $0.32$0.262026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YOUL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YOUL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YOUL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YOUL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YOUL)

Real Estate Rank #32 of 51 ⚔️ STG vs YOUL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (YOUL vs. STG, AACG, YQ, LFS)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Youlife Group Inc. (YOUL) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #34 by equity capitalization ($36.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YOUL leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. LFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with YOUL at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YOUL ACTIVE
Youlife Group Inc.
D 47/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -10.41% $36.3M Benchmark Subject
STG
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 51/100 — 86.9% 80.4% 0.00% $32.7M /stg-vs-youl →
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
D- 35/100 — 48.6% -35.0% -1.51% $44.5M /aacg-vs-youl →
YQ
17 Education & Technology Group Inc.
D 44/100 — 47.7% -35.0% -9.15% $29.1M /yq-vs-youl →
LFS
LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.
B- 71/100 19.6x 29.5% 26.5% 0.00% $54.9M /lfs-vs-youl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002028177

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Youlife Group Inc. (YOUL) reported GAAP revenue of $265.2M , GAAP net income of $6.2M, operating cash flow of $1.7M, and free cash flow of $1.7M . On the balance sheet, YOUL closed FY2025 with $177.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.62, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $265.2M $6.2M $1.7M $1.7M $177.7M —

3. YOUL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YOUL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Youlife Group Inc. (NASDAQ: YOUL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $0.26 (-10.41% 1D, market cap $36.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, YOUL ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YOUL compare to STG and AACG in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), YOUL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 10.4%, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, STG (Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 80.4%, cap $32.7M) and AACG (ATA Creativity Global) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $44.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YOUL leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YOUL?

Per YOUL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002028177), Youlife Group Inc. generated $265.2M in revenue, $6.2M in net income, and $1.7M in free cash flow against $177.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YOUL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YOUL last traded at $0.26 (-10.41% on volume of 154,744 shares), positioning the stock -35.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.40) and -64.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.74). Across its 52-week range of $0.20 to $2.13, YOUL sits at the 3.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.29).

YOUL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is YOUL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Youlife Group Inc. (YOUL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is YOUL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for YOUL, spanning a range between $1 and $0.29.

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