York Water Company (YORW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.5% Move

$31.07 -0.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.98

York Water Company (YORW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $504.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.98 (-0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 38.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (18)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$38 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE YORW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YORW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YORW SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$31.06-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$30.94+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$31.82-2.4% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$31.07+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the YORW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, YORW faces multiple-compression risk if 25.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.13) or 200D SMA ($31.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.33) toward Bear Floor ($25.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YORW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YORW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.5% Swing Band

±$1.40 Expected Swing
$29.67 (-4.5%)Spot $31.07$32.47 (+4.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

YORW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $1.24 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.4%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$77.0M$20.1M$29.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$74.5M$20.3M$30.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$70.5M$23.8M$31.9M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating YORW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on YORW
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
YORW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.06%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $31.43H $31.70L $31.07C $31.07VOL 134.0K
RES: $35.15SUP: $30.09SMA50: $32.13SMA200: $31.41
$35.25$33.43$31.61$29.79$27.96RES $35.15SUP $30.09$31.072026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YORW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YORW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YORW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YORW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YORW)

Utilities Rank #18 of 117 ⚔️ CWCO vs YORW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (YORW vs. CWCO, CDZI, ARTNA, PCYO)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, York Water Company (YORW) ranks #18 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #88 by equity capitalization ($504.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARTNA leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while CWCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 36.6% gross margin. CWCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with YORW at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YORW ACTIVE
York Water Company
C+ 67/100 25.1x — 4.7% -0.61% $504.2M Benchmark Subject
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
B+ 80/100 23.4x 36.6% 14.8% -0.89% $428.5M /cwco-vs-yorw →
CDZI
CADIZ Inc.
E 34/100 — 31.6% -23.1% -0.21% $398.8M /cdzi-vs-yorw →
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)
D+ 52/100 15.2x — 5.2% -0.86% $346.0M /artna-vs-yorw →
PCYO
Pure Cycle Corporation
B+ 76/100 19.5x 61.4% 4.4% -0.56% $255.2M /pcyo-vs-yorw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000108985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), York Water Company (YORW) reported GAAP revenue of $77.0M (+3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $74.5M , and +9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.1M, operating cash flow of $29.9M, and free cash flow of $29.9M (-2.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, YORW closed FY2025 with $680.9M in total assets against $221.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $77.0M $20.1M $29.9M $29.9M $680.9M $221.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $74.5M $20.3M $30.6M $30.6M $633.5M $205.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $70.5M $23.8M $31.9M $31.9M — —

3. YORW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YORW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, York Water Company (NASDAQ: YORW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $31.07 (-0.61% 1D, market cap $504.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, YORW ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YORW compare to CWCO and CDZI in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), YORW carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.7%. By comparison, CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $428.5M) and CDZI (CADIZ Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.1%, cap $398.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARTNA leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YORW?

Per YORW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000108985), York Water Company generated $77.0M in revenue (+3.4% YoY), $20.1M in net income, and $29.9M in free cash flow against $680.9M in total assets and $221.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YORW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YORW last traded at $31.07 (-0.61% on volume of 95,416 shares), positioning the stock -3.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.13) and -1.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.41). Across its 52-week range of $28.26 to $34.81, YORW sits at the 42.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($29.67 to $32.47).

YORW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is YORW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, York Water Company (YORW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is YORW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.5% event move for YORW, spanning a range between $29.67 and $32.47.

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