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Why XNET Stock advanced +0.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.64 +0.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.63
Xunlei Limited (XNET) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $231.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is XNET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, Xunlei Limited (NASDAQ: XNET) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $3.64 (+0.28% 1D, market cap $231.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, XNET ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does XNET compare to KLTR and SVCO in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), XNET carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, KLTR (Kaltura Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.3%, cap $228.8M) and SVCO (Silvaco Group Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $228.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XNET leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XNET?
▼
Per XNET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001510593), Xunlei Limited generated $460.4M in revenue (+42.5% YoY), $1.05B in net income, and $27.1M in free cash flow against $1.63B in total assets and $38.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.63 (-0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XNET)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XNET SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.75 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 1.4% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$5.01-16% Next Q
55
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$4.21-8.6% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$3.85-5.5% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D$3.64-5.9% Hist 90D α
47
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XNET Turnaround Squeeze
While XNET currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.67) and Max Pain ($3.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.47.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XNET• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XNET Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why XNET Stock advanced +0.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Xunlei Limited (XNET) advanced +0.28% to $3.64, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($3.5 – $9.02). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($3.5 – $9.02) with RSI-14 at 18.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.9% around $3.64 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 47.2% gross margin and $27.1M annual free cash flow.
Live XNET Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XNET)
- ✓Walkthrough of XNET's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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XNET // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.13%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $3.60H $3.68L $3.50C $3.64VOL 224.2K
RES: $4.83SUP: $4.12SMA50: $4.67SMA200: $5.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
XNET Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +42.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XNET today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XNET. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XNET today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XNET)
Technology Rank #452 of 714
⚔️ KLTR vs XNET Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (XNET vs. KLTR, SVCO, EXFY, GRRR)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xunlei Limited (XNET) ranks #452 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #464 by equity capitalization ($231.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XNET leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and — gross margin. GRRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with XNET at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XNET
ACTIVE
Xunlei Limited | D | 47/100 | — | — | 0.4% | +0.28% | $231.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| KLTR Kaltura Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 70.6% | -34.3% | 0.00% | $228.8M | /kltr-vs-xnet → |
| SVCO Silvaco Group Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 78.3% | -35.0% | -2.18% | $228.1M | /svco-vs-xnet → |
| EXFY Expensify Inc. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | 50.3% | -20.4% | -2.41% | $221.6M | /exfy-vs-xnet → |
| GRRR Gorilla Technology Group Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -9.32% | $252.1M | /grrr-vs-xnet → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001510593In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xunlei Limited (XNET) reported GAAP revenue of $460.4M (+42.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $323.1M , and +26.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.05B, operating cash flow of $32.5M, and free cash flow of $27.1M (+18.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, XNET closed FY2025 with $1.63B in total assets against $38.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $460.4M | $1.05B | $32.5M | $27.1M | $1.63B | $38.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $323.1M | $1.2M | $31.0M | $22.9M | $473.9M | $27.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $363.7M | $14.2M | $25.7M | $25.7M | — | — |
3. XNET Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs XNET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Xunlei Limited (NASDAQ: XNET) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $3.64 (+0.28% 1D, market cap $231.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, XNET ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.
How does XNET compare to KLTR and SVCO in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), XNET carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, KLTR (Kaltura Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.3%, cap $228.8M) and SVCO (Silvaco Group Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $228.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XNET leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XNET?
Per XNET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001510593), Xunlei Limited generated $460.4M in revenue (+42.5% YoY), $1.05B in net income, and $27.1M in free cash flow against $1.63B in total assets and $38.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is XNET trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
XNET last traded at $3.64 (+0.28% on volume of 311,416 shares), positioning the stock -22.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.67) and -34.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.50 to $9.02, XNET sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 18.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($3.28 to $4.00).
XNET Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is XNET stock moving today?
Why XNET Stock advanced +0.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.