Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.37 +6.79% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (4)Whales (15)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$3 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE XELB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XELB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.05 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.37$0.42 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

XELB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$17.46T-$7.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$8.3M-$22.39T-$4.8M94.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$21.05T-$6.5M52%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XELB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XELB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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XELB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -82.63%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $0.34H $0.37L $0.33C $0.37VOL 36.4K
RES: $0.42SUP: $0.17SMA50: $0.69SMA200: $1.43
$2.62$1.99$1.35$0.71$0.07RES $0.42SUP $0.17$0.372026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XELB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XELB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XELB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XELB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XELB)

Industrials Rank #348 of 485 ⚔️ REFR vs XELB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (XELB vs. REFR, RMCO, NTIP, VHC)

Industry: Multi-Sector Companies (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) ranks #348 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #476 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XELB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RMCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.7% ROIC and 16.3% gross margin. XELB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XELB ACTIVE
Xcel Brands Inc.
D 45/100 — — -35.0% +6.79% $2.6M Benchmark Subject
REFR
Research Frontiers Incorporated
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -13.63% $13.3M /refr-vs-xelb →
RMCO
Royalty Management Holding Corporation (Class A)
D 44/100 — 16.3% -1.7% +5.86% $35.7M /rmco-vs-xelb →
NTIP
Network-1 Technologies Inc.
D- 39/100 — 72.0% -10.0% +0.63% $36.4M /ntip-vs-xelb →
VHC
VirnetX Holding Corp
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -3.89% $43.9M /vhc-vs-xelb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001083220

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.3M ) , GAAP net income of -$17.46T, operating cash flow of -$7.0M, and free cash flow of -$7.0M (-45.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, XELB closed FY2025 with $38.9M in total assets against $9.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$17.46T -$7.0M -$7.0M $38.9M $9.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $8.3M -$22.39T -$4.7M -$4.8M $53.8M $6.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$21.05T -$6.5M -$6.5M — —

3. XELB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XELB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Xcel Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.37 (+6.79% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, XELB ranks #348 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XELB compare to REFR and RMCO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Multi-Sector Companies), XELB carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, REFR (Research Frontiers Incorporated) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.3M) and RMCO (Royalty Management Holding Corporation (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.7%, cap $35.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XELB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RMCO leads on capital efficiency (-1.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XELB?

Per XELB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001083220), Xcel Brands Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$17.46T in net income, and -$7.0M in free cash flow against $38.9M in total assets and $9.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XELB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XELB last traded at $0.37 (+6.79% on volume of 27,504 shares), positioning the stock -46.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.69) and -74.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.43). Across its 52-week range of $0.27 to $2.47, XELB sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.42).

XELB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is XELB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is XELB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for XELB, spanning a range between $1 and $0.42.

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