Stock Ratings / Industrials / WGO / options

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Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$30.23 +5.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.48

Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $860.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.48 (+0.82%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WGO SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.39 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$23.39+2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$24.00+19.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$28.65+5.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C$30.23+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WGO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, WGO faces multiple-compression risk if 33.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.49) or 200D SMA ($32.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.05) toward Bear Floor ($24.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±11.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WGO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WGO.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WGO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WGO
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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WGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $30.16H $30.95L $29.83C $30.23VOL 697.2K

RES: $35.38SUP: $21.23SMA50: $27.49SMA200: $32.67

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WGO Butterfly Map → + Track WGO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WGO)

Industrials Rank #124 of 485 ⚔️ THO vs WGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WGO vs. THO, DFH, LGIH, LEGH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) ranks #124 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #264 by equity capitalization ($860.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with WGO at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WGO ACTIVE Winnebago Industries Inc.	C	64/100	33.5x	13.0%	2.8%	+5.59%	$860.8M	Benchmark Subject
THO Thor Industries Inc.	D+	53/100	14.7x	14.0%	5.0%	+3.60%	$3.80B	/tho-vs-wgo →
DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	4.2x	—	15.3%	+3.29%	$909.0M	/dfh-vs-wgo →
LGIH LGI Homes Inc.	D	44/100	14.0x	20.7%	3.0%	+5.12%	$1.02B	/lgih-vs-wgo →
LEGH Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)	C+	69/100	16.5x	—	7.4%	+1.87%	$688.0M	/legh-vs-wgo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-30 • CIK 0000107687

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30), Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.80B (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.97B , and -19.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.7M, operating cash flow of $128.9M, and free cash flow of $89.5M (-9.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WGO closed FY2025 with $2.13B in total assets against $541.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.39, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-30	$2.80B	$25.7M	$128.9M	$89.5M	$2.13B	$541.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-31	$2.97B	$13.0M	$143.9M	$98.9M	$2.30B	$637.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-08-26	$3.49B	$215.9M	$294.5M	$294.5M	—	—

3. WGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $30.23 (+5.59% 1D, market cap $860.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WGO ranks #124 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WGO compare to THO and DFH in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), WGO carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.5x, gross margin of 13.0%, and ROIC of 2.8%. By comparison, THO (Thor Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $3.80B) and DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $909.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WGO?

Per WGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0000107687), Winnebago Industries Inc. generated $2.80B in revenue (-5.9% YoY), $25.7M in net income, and $89.5M in free cash flow against $2.13B in total assets and $541.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WGO last traded at $30.23 (+5.59% on volume of 809,240 shares), positioning the stock +9.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.49) and -7.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.67). Across its 52-week range of $21.95 to $50.16, WGO sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($26.78 to $33.68).

WGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is WGO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for WGO.

Direct Sub-Reports: WGO RQD Cockpit WGO 12M Forecast WGO Earnings & Move WGO Dividends & DRIP WGO Insiders & 13F WGO Whale Options WGO Profit Sankey WGO News & Why