MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why WGO Stock surged +5.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$30.23 +5.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.48
Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $860.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.48 (+0.82%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WGO SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.39 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$23.39+2.6% Next Q
56
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$24.00+19.4% Next Q
59
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$28.65+5.5% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade C$30.23+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WGO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, WGO faces multiple-compression risk if 33.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.49) or 200D SMA ($32.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.05) toward Bear Floor ($24.22).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why WGO Stock surged +5.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) surged +5.59% to $30.23, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($21.95 – $50.16). Solid 13% profit margin (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 34x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($21.95 – $50.16) with RSI-14 at 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.4% around $30.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 13% gross margin and $89.5M annual free cash flow.
Live WGO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WGO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
WGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $30.16H $30.95L $29.83C $30.23VOL 697.2K
RES: $35.38SUP: $21.23SMA50: $27.49SMA200: $32.67
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
WGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WGO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WGO)
Industrials Rank #124 of 485
⚔️ THO vs WGO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WGO vs. THO, DFH, LGIH, LEGH)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) ranks #124 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #264 by equity capitalization ($860.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with WGO at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGO
ACTIVE
Winnebago Industries Inc. | C | 64/100 | 33.5x | 13.0% | 2.8% | +5.59% | $860.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| THO Thor Industries Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 14.7x | 14.0% | 5.0% | +3.60% | $3.80B | /tho-vs-wgo → |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | 4.2x | — | 15.3% | +3.29% | $909.0M | /dfh-vs-wgo → |
| LGIH LGI Homes Inc. | D | 44/100 | 14.0x | 20.7% | 3.0% | +5.12% | $1.02B | /lgih-vs-wgo → |
| LEGH Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) | C+ | 69/100 | 16.5x | — | 7.4% | +1.87% | $688.0M | /legh-vs-wgo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-30 • CIK 0000107687In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30), Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.80B (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.97B , and -19.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.7M, operating cash flow of $128.9M, and free cash flow of $89.5M (-9.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WGO closed FY2025 with $2.13B in total assets against $541.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.39, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-08-30 | $2.80B | $25.7M | $128.9M | $89.5M | $2.13B | $541.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-08-31 | $2.97B | $13.0M | $143.9M | $98.9M | $2.30B | $637.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-08-26 | $3.49B | $215.9M | $294.5M | $294.5M | — | — |
3. WGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs WGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $30.23 (+5.59% 1D, market cap $860.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WGO ranks #124 in composite RQD confidence.
How does WGO compare to THO and DFH in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), WGO carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.5x, gross margin of 13.0%, and ROIC of 2.8%. By comparison, THO (Thor Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $3.80B) and DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $909.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WGO?
Per WGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0000107687), Winnebago Industries Inc. generated $2.80B in revenue (-5.9% YoY), $25.7M in net income, and $89.5M in free cash flow against $2.13B in total assets and $541.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is WGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
WGO last traded at $30.23 (+5.59% on volume of 809,240 shares), positioning the stock +9.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.49) and -7.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.67). Across its 52-week range of $21.95 to $50.16, WGO sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($26.78 to $33.68).
WGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is WGO stock moving today?
Why WGO Stock surged +5.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 13% profit margin (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 34x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.