CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
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Why WD Stock advanced +1.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$34.71 +1.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.73
Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.19B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.73 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WD SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.1% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$33.01-1.1% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$32.66+4.6% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$34.16+1.6% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D+$34.71-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WD Turnaround Squeeze
While WD currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.90) and Max Pain ($36.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $85.17.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why WD Stock advanced +1.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) advanced +1.40% to $34.71, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($31.4 – $81.11). Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($31.4 – $81.11) with RSI-14 at 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.1% around $34.71 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live WD Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
$117.3M Multifamily Refinancing Lands on 3 Texas AssetsA private investor landed $117.3 million from Benefit Street Partners to refinance two Austin-area and one DFW apartment community totaling 960 units.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Walker & Dunlop Arranges $117 Million Refinancing for Three Texas Multifamily PropertiesBETHESDA, Md., October 29, 2026--Walker & Dunlop arranged $117,300,000 to refinance three multifamily communities across the Austin and Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan areas.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
REITs' Share Of Senior Housing Deals Has Doubled. Will Development Follow?Public REITs dominated senior housing deals, leveraging speed and cost advantages to outpace private buyers.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
The Broe Group Enters Southern California as Part of Billion-Dollar Multifamily InitiativeBroe Real Estate Group (BREG), the real estate affiliate of the multi-billion-dollar Colorado investment firm The Broe Group, has acquired 525 Olive in San Diego. The 20-story, 204-unit luxury apartment building opened i
CATALYSTBenzinga • 10d ago
Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Give Their Take On 3 Financial Stocks Delivering High-Dividend YieldsAnalysts review three high-yield financial stocks: Western Union (15.04%), Trinity Capital (12.61%) and Walker & Dunlop (8.27%).
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Walker & Dunlop Closes $151 Million Through HUD’s New LEAN Express LaneBETHESDA, Md., October 21, 2026--Walker & Dunlop has arranged $151 million in financing across nine healthcare transactions nationwide through the (HUD) LEAN Express Lane.
CATALYSTYahoo • 12d ago
Walker & Dunlop: Institutional Capital fuels 74% Surge in Seniors Housing TransactionsBETHESDA, Md., October 20, 2026--Walker & Dunlop today released its 2026 Seniors Housing Outlook, revealing a sharp acceleration in investment activity.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 13d ago
Arbor Realty Trust, Franklin BSP Realty Trust, PennyMac Financial Services, Walker & Dunlop, and Ladder Capital Shares Are Falling, What You Need To KnowA number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after U.S. Treasury yields moved higher across the curve as investors continued to digest sticky inflation data and the prospect of tighter financial conditions. According
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WD)
- ✓Walkthrough of WD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.06%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $34.77H $34.87L $34.24C $34.71VOL 347.2K
RES: $48.33SUP: $28.90SMA50: $36.90SMA200: $47.92
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
WD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +20.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WD today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WD)
Financials Rank #736 of 1096
⚔️ OCSL vs WD Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (WD vs. OCSL, PWP, SECZ, PICS)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) ranks #736 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #520 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WD leads on earnings valuation at 21.2x trailing P/E, while PWP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.7% ROIC and — gross margin. PWP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with WD at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WD
ACTIVE
Walker & Dunlop Inc | D+ | 53/100 | 21.2x | — | 3.2% | +1.40% | $1.19B | Benchmark Subject |
| OCSL Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 31.5x | — | 2.4% | +2.80% | $1.07B | /ocsl-vs-wd → |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A) | C+ | 67/100 | 28.4x | — | 55.7% | +8.19% | $1.36B | /pwp-vs-wd → |
| SECZ Securitize Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +1.20% | $1.38B | /secz-vs-wd → |
| PICS PicS N.V. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -0.51% | $1.02B | /pics-vs-wd → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001497770In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) reported GAAP revenue of $320.0M (+20.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $265.4M , and +23.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.2M, operating cash flow of -$664.3M, and free cash flow of -$664.3M (-613.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WD closed FY2025 with $5.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $320.0M | $56.2M | -$664.3M | -$664.3M | $5.06B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $265.4M | $108.2M | $129.4M | $129.4M | $4.38B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $258.2M | $107.4M | -$518.0K | -$518.0K | — | — |
3. WD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs WD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Walker & Dunlop Inc (NYSE: WD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $34.71 (+1.40% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, WD ranks #736 in composite RQD confidence.
How does WD compare to OCSL and PWP in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), WD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.2%. By comparison, OCSL (Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.07B) and PWP (Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 28.4x, ROIC 55.7%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WD leads on earnings multiple (21.2x) while PWP leads on capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WD?
Per WD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001497770), Walker & Dunlop Inc generated $320.0M in revenue (+20.6% YoY), $56.2M in net income, and -$664.3M in free cash flow against $5.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is WD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
WD last traded at $34.71 (+1.40% on volume of 508,905 shares), positioning the stock -5.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($36.90) and -27.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($47.92). Across its 52-week range of $31.40 to $81.11, WD sits at the 6.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($31.55 to $37.87).
WD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is WD stock moving today?
Why WD Stock advanced +1.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.