Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$34.71 +1.40% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.73

Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.19B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.73 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk C
Cash (3)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$85 Bull$34 Base$26 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE WD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY WD SCORES 53/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 7% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±9.1% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$33.01-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$32.66+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$34.16+1.6% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$34.71-0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D+ (53)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While WD currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.90) and Max Pain ($36.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $85.17.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œWD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
9.51% Total Yield
7.71% Cash ($2.68/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 β€’ ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (20.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $66,171

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $6,293/yr
$12.1K
Yr 1
$14.6K
Yr 2
$17.6K
Yr 3
$21.3K
Yr 4
$25.7K
Yr 5
$31.1K
Yr 6
$37.5K
Yr 7
$45.3K
Yr 8
$54.8K
Yr 9
$66.2K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of WD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.06%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $34.77H $34.87L $34.24C $34.71VOL 347.2K
RES: $48.33SUP: $28.90SMA50: $36.90SMA200: $47.92
$69.55$59.21$48.87$38.53$28.19RES $48.33SUP $28.90$34.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WD)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (WD vs. OCSL, PWP, SECZ, PICS)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) ranks #736 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #520 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WD leads on earnings valuation at 21.2x trailing P/E, while PWP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. PWP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with WD at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WD ACTIVE
Walker & Dunlop Inc
D+ 53/100 21.2x β€” 3.2% +1.40% $1.19B Benchmark Subject
OCSL
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation
C+ 66/100 31.5x β€” 2.4% +2.80% $1.07B /ocsl-vs-wd β†’
PWP
Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A)
C+ 67/100 28.4x β€” 55.7% +8.19% $1.36B /pwp-vs-wd β†’
SECZ
Securitize Corp.
D 50/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.20% $1.38B /secz-vs-wd β†’
PICS
PicS N.V. (Class A)
D 51/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.51% $1.02B /pics-vs-wd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001497770

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) reported GAAP revenue of $320.0M (+20.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $265.4M , and +23.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.2M, operating cash flow of -$664.3M, and free cash flow of -$664.3M (-613.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WD closed FY2025 with $5.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $320.0M $56.2M -$664.3M -$664.3M $5.06B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $265.4M $108.2M $129.4M $129.4M $4.38B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $258.2M $107.4M -$518.0K -$518.0K β€” β€”

3. WD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Walker & Dunlop Inc (NYSE: WD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $34.71 (+1.40% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, WD ranks #736 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WD compare to OCSL and PWP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), WD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 3.2%. By comparison, OCSL (Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.07B) and PWP (Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 28.4x, ROIC 55.7%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WD leads on earnings multiple (21.2x) while PWP leads on capital efficiency (55.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WD?

Per WD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001497770), Walker & Dunlop Inc generated $320.0M in revenue (+20.6% YoY), $56.2M in net income, and -$664.3M in free cash flow against $5.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WD last traded at $34.71 (+1.40% on volume of 508,905 shares), positioning the stock -5.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($36.90) and -27.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($47.92). Across its 52-week range of $31.40 to $81.11, WD sits at the 6.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.1% ($31.55 to $37.87).

WD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does WD pay a dividend and is it safe?

Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) offers a 7.71% cash dividend yield ($2.68 annualized) and 9.51% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

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