Valvoline Inc. (VVV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Valvoline Inc. (VVV) advanced +1.92% to $32.38, trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($26.21 – $41.08). Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
LEXINGTON, Ky., October 29, 2026--Valvoline Inc. (NYSE: VVV), the quick, easy, trusted leader in preventive automotive maintenance, today announced that it plans to report financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter
Broyhill Asset Management, a Charlotte-based firm, issued its third-quarter 2026 investor letter. The letter can be downloaded here. The Broyhill Equity Composite decreased by 0.3% in Q3, underperforming the MSCI All Cou
Wells Fargo analyst David Lantz maintains Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $45 to $40.
Valvoline (VVV) is expected issue "fairly conservative" initial fiscal 2027 guidance, assuming that
RBC Capital analyst Steven Shemesh maintains Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $49 to $46.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VVV today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 72 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valvoline Inc. (VVV) ranks #61 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #69 by equity capitalization ($4.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEU leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while NEU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.6% ROIC and 31.5% gross margin. NEU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with VVV at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV
ACTIVE
Valvoline Inc. | D | 45/100 | 19.6x | 38.5% | 16.5% | +1.92% | $4.13B | Benchmark Subject |
| CE Celanese Corporation | D | 44/100 | — | 20.5% | -10.7% | -1.08% | $5.30B | /ce-vs-vvv → |
| SXT Sensient Technologies Corporation | C- | 60/100 | 41.6x | 33.5% | 8.8% | -0.05% | $5.60B | /sxt-vs-vvv → |
| HXL Hexcel Corporation | D+ | 52/100 | 55.0x | 23.0% | 6.2% | +1.97% | $6.02B | /hxl-vs-vvv → |
| NEU NewMarket Corp | B | 73/100 | 17.6x | 31.5% | 16.6% | -8.04% | $7.39B | /neu-vs-vvv → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Valvoline Inc. (VVV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.71B (+5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.62B , and +18.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $210.7M, operating cash flow of $297.2M, and free cash flow of $38.0M (-6.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VVV closed FY2025 with $3.40B in total assets against $1.63B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.46, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $1.71B | $210.7M | $297.2M | $38.0M | $3.40B | $1.63B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $1.62B | $211.5M | $265.1M | $40.7M | $2.35B | $1.01B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $1.44B | $1.42B | -$40.8M | -$105.8M | $2.27B | $531.7M |
As of 2026-11-01, Valvoline Inc. (NYSE: VVV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $32.38 (+1.92% 1D, market cap $4.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 72 tracked Materials issuers, VVV ranks #61 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VVV carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.6x, gross margin of 38.5%, and ROIC of 16.5%. By comparison, CE (Celanese Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.7%, cap $5.30B) and SXT (Sensient Technologies Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 41.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $5.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEU leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while NEU leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).
Per VVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001674910), Valvoline Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), $210.7M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $3.40B in total assets and $1.63B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
VVV last traded at $32.38 (+1.92% on volume of 1,996,538 shares), positioning the stock +5.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.63) and -5.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.34). Across its 52-week range of $26.21 to $41.08, VVV sits at the 41.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($30.47 to $34.29).
Why VVV Stock advanced +1.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.