Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$32.38 +1.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.13B
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

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Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$43 Bull$30 Base$24 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VVV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How VVV Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$38.0M (2.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.71BGross Profit $658.5M (38.5%)Cost of Sales $1.05BOp Profit $389.9M (22.8%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $268.6MNet Profit$210.7M (12.3%)Tax/Other $179.2M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.44B
FY24
Rev $1.62B
FY25
Rev $1.71B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.71B38.5%22.8%$210.7M$38.0M16.5%
FY 2024$1.62B38.2%22.7%$211.5M$40.7M24.6%
FY 2023$1.44B38.5%17.1%$1.42B-$105.8M14.2%
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VVV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.84%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-01O $31.77H $32.38L $31.77C $32.38VOL 2.00M
RES: $47.40SUP: $24.35SMA50: $30.63SMA200: $34.34
$42.12$37.81$33.50$29.18$24.87RES $47.40SUP $24.35$32.382026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-01
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VVV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VVV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VVV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VVV)

Materials Rank #61 of 72 ⚔️ CE vs VVV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (VVV vs. CE, SXT, HXL, NEU)

Industry: Major Chemicals (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 72 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valvoline Inc. (VVV) ranks #61 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #69 by equity capitalization ($4.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEU leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while NEU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.6% ROIC and 31.5% gross margin. NEU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with VVV at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VVV ACTIVE
Valvoline Inc.
D 45/100 19.6x 38.5% 16.5% +1.92% $4.13B Benchmark Subject
CE
Celanese Corporation
D 44/100 — 20.5% -10.7% -1.08% $5.30B /ce-vs-vvv →
SXT
Sensient Technologies Corporation
C- 60/100 41.6x 33.5% 8.8% -0.05% $5.60B /sxt-vs-vvv →
HXL
Hexcel Corporation
D+ 52/100 55.0x 23.0% 6.2% +1.97% $6.02B /hxl-vs-vvv →
NEU
NewMarket Corp
B 73/100 17.6x 31.5% 16.6% -8.04% $7.39B /neu-vs-vvv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001674910

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Valvoline Inc. (VVV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.71B (+5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.62B , and +18.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $210.7M, operating cash flow of $297.2M, and free cash flow of $38.0M (-6.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VVV closed FY2025 with $3.40B in total assets against $1.63B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.46, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.71B $210.7M $297.2M $38.0M $3.40B $1.63B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.62B $211.5M $265.1M $40.7M $2.35B $1.01B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.44B $1.42B -$40.8M -$105.8M $2.27B $531.7M

3. VVV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Valvoline Inc. (NYSE: VVV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $32.38 (+1.92% 1D, market cap $4.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 72 tracked Materials issuers, VVV ranks #61 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VVV compare to CE and SXT in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VVV carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.6x, gross margin of 38.5%, and ROIC of 16.5%. By comparison, CE (Celanese Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.7%, cap $5.30B) and SXT (Sensient Technologies Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 41.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $5.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEU leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while NEU leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VVV?

Per VVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001674910), Valvoline Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), $210.7M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $3.40B in total assets and $1.63B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VVV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VVV last traded at $32.38 (+1.92% on volume of 1,996,538 shares), positioning the stock +5.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.63) and -5.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.34). Across its 52-week range of $26.21 to $41.08, VVV sits at the 41.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($30.47 to $34.29).

VVV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Valvoline Inc. (VVV)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), VVV converted $1.7B of revenue into a 38.5% gross margin, 22.8% operating margin, and $38.0M in free cash flow (2.2% FCF margin).