MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why VTSI Stock dropped -4.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.68 -4.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65
VirTra Inc. (VTSI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $30.3M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65 (-0.96%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 13.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VTSI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VTSI SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.7% FCF Margin ($3.1M FCF) & 67.9% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$2.69+2.2% Next Q
56
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$2.75-1.1% Next Q
53
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$2.72-1.5% Next Q
51
CurrentGrade D$2.68-5.6% Hist 90D α
48
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VTSI Turnaround Squeeze
While VTSI currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.84) and Max Pain ($2.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.38.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VTSI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VTSI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why VTSI Stock dropped -4.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
VirTra Inc. (VTSI) dropped -4.29% to $2.68, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($2.54 – $6.08). Stretched risk/reward at 117x P/E (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($2.54 – $6.08) with RSI-14 at 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.2% around $2.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 67.9% gross margin and $3.1M annual free cash flow.
Live VTSI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VTSI)
- ✓Walkthrough of VTSI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VTSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.91%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.75H $2.75L $2.60C $2.68VOL 5.0K
RES: $3.50SUP: $2.39SMA50: $2.84SMA200: $3.60
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
VTSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -15.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VTSI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VTSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VTSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VTSI)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #692 of 1011
⚔️ DOGZ vs VTSI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VTSI vs. DOGZ, JCSE, MWG, TOYO)
Industry: Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (10 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VirTra Inc. (VTSI) ranks #692 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #862 by equity capitalization ($30.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JCSE leads on earnings valuation at 3.7x trailing P/E, while TOYO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.9% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. TOYO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with VTSI at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTSI
ACTIVE
VirTra Inc. | D | 48/100 | 117.4x | 67.9% | 1.3% | -4.29% | $30.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| DOGZ Dogness (International) Corporation (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | 24.3% | -6.1% | -6.15% | $10.7M | /dogz-vs-vtsi → |
| JCSE JE Cleantech Holdings Limited (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | 3.7x | 28.5% | 4.9% | -3.53% | $9.2M | /jcse-vs-vtsi → |
| MWG Multi Ways Holdings Limited (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | 24.8% | 2.9% | +0.68% | $7.7M | /mwg-vs-vtsi → |
| TOYO TOYO Co. Ltd | B | 73/100 | 5.1x | 22.5% | 41.9% | +23.04% | $200.8M | /toyo-vs-vtsi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001085243In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), VirTra Inc. (VTSI) reported GAAP revenue of $22.4M (-15.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $26.4M , and -41.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $258.4K, operating cash flow of $4.6M, and free cash flow of $3.1M (+622.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, VTSI closed FY2025 with $65.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $22.4M | $258.4K | $4.6M | $3.1M | $65.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $26.4M | $1.4M | $1.3M | -$588.3K | $65.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $38.3M | $8.7M | $6.7M | $6.7M | — | — |
3. VTSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VTSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, VirTra Inc. (NASDAQ: VTSI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $2.68 (-4.29% 1D, market cap $30.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VTSI ranks #692 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VTSI compare to DOGZ and JCSE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), VTSI carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 117.4x, gross margin of 67.9%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, DOGZ (Dogness (International) Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $10.7M) and JCSE (JE Cleantech Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 3.7x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $9.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCSE leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while TOYO leads on capital efficiency (41.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTSI?
Per VTSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001085243), VirTra Inc. generated $22.4M in revenue (-15.0% YoY), $258.4K in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $65.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VTSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VTSI last traded at $2.68 (-4.29% on volume of 22,837 shares), positioning the stock -5.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.84) and -25.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.54 to $6.08, VTSI sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($2.38 to $2.98).
VTSI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VTSI stock moving today?
Why VTSI Stock dropped -4.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 117x P/E (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.