MARKET WIREBenzinga • 6d ago
Reported Earlier, Agibank Secures R$2.5B In Second FIDC Structuring To Scale Secured Lending As Total Credit Portfolio Hits R$34.9BWhy VTEX Stock surged +4.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.03 +4.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.05
VTEX (Class A) (VTEX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $697.2M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.05 (+0.60%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 13.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VTEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VTEX SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.4% FCF Margin ($32.3M FCF) & 77.5% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.4) create a -10 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$3.97+5.8% Next Q
55
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$4.20-0.7% Next Q
58
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$4.17-3.4% Next Q
60
CurrentGrade C$4.03+0.9% Hist 90D α
63
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VTEX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, VTEX faces multiple-compression risk if 34.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 75.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.78) or 200D SMA ($3.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.12) toward Bear Floor ($3.21).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VTEX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VTEX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why VTEX Stock surged +4.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
VTEX (Class A) (VTEX) surged +4.40% to $4.03, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($2.84 – $4.6). Solid 78% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 35x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($2.84 – $4.6) with RSI-14 at 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.6% around $4.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 77.5% gross margin and $32.3M annual free cash flow.
Live VTEX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREFintel • 11d ago
VTEX Announces Appointment of Leandro Balbinot to Board of DirectorsMARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
VTEX to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 5th, 2026NEW YORK, October 21, 2026--VTEX (NYSE: VTEX), the backbone for connected commerce, will release the financial results for its third fiscal quarter ended September 30th, 2026, via conference call and audio webcast, on No
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VTEX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
VTEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.18%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $4.04H $4.07L $3.97C $4.03VOL 593.0K
RES: $4.40SUP: $3.58SMA50: $3.78SMA200: $3.76
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
VTEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VTEX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VTEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VTEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VTEX)
Technology Rank #209 of 714
⚔️ CCSI vs VTEX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (VTEX vs. CCSI, CGNT, DCBO, SPT)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VTEX (Class A) (VTEX) ranks #209 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #393 by equity capitalization ($697.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with VTEX at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTEX
ACTIVE
VTEX (Class A) | C | 63/100 | 34.8x | 77.5% | 6.6% | +4.40% | $697.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 8.2x | 79.8% | 24.2% | +1.13% | $690.7M | /ccsi-vs-vtex → |
| CGNT Cognyte Software Ltd. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 72.4% | 11.7% | -1.66% | $723.5M | /cgnt-vs-vtex → |
| DCBO Docebo Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -0.79% | $735.2M | /dcbo-vs-vtex → |
| SPT Sprout Social Inc (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | 77.6% | -31.7% | -2.40% | $740.4M | /spt-vs-vtex → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001793663In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), VTEX (Class A) (VTEX) reported GAAP revenue of $240.5M (+6.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $226.7M , and +19.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.0M, operating cash flow of $33.4M, and free cash flow of $32.3M (+35.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, VTEX closed FY2025 with $346.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $240.5M | $20.0M | $33.4M | $32.3M | $346.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $226.7M | $15.8M | $26.0M | $23.9M | $362.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $200.8M | -$15.8M | $5.4M | $5.4M | — | — |
3. VTEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VTEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, VTEX (Class A) (NYSE: VTEX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $4.03 (+4.40% 1D, market cap $697.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, VTEX ranks #209 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VTEX compare to CCSI and CGNT in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), VTEX carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.8x, gross margin of 77.5%, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $690.7M) and CGNT (Cognyte Software Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 11.7%, cap $723.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTEX?
Per VTEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001793663), VTEX (Class A) generated $240.5M in revenue (+6.1% YoY), $20.0M in net income, and $32.3M in free cash flow against $346.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VTEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VTEX last traded at $4.03 (+4.40% on volume of 554,016 shares), positioning the stock +6.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.78) and +7.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($3.76). Across its 52-week range of $2.84 to $4.60, VTEX sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($3.64 to $4.42).
VTEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VTEX stock moving today?
Why VTEX Stock surged +4.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 78% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 35x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.