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Stock Ratings / US Equity / VMW / forecast
MGRC (67) AXTI (36) FSK (51) HWKN (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

VMW Corp. (VMW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$48.50 +0.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.45

VMW Corp. (VMW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.15B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VMW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VMW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-05, VMW Corp. (NASDAQ: VMW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $48.50 (+0.45% 1D, market cap $3.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 0 tracked US Equity issuers, VMW ranks #1 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VMW compare to MGRC and AXTI in the US Equity sector?
▼

Within the US Equity sector (Public Equity), VMW carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $3.15B) and AXTI (AXT Inc) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.4%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGRC leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while MGRC leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VMW?
▼

For VMW Corp. (VMW), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in US Equity with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #1 in US Equity, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.1%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 VMW TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $VMW, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $VMW R/R 2.9 : 1 • RQD 62/100 (C)
$VMW
Spot $48.50
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$48.21–$48.74
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$46.32 (-4.5%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$52.28 / $54.90
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $46.32): Hard stop sits 4.5% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $VMW closes a daily candle below $46.32, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $52.28 / $54.90): Scale out 50% at T1 (+7.8%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+13.2%).
Want this $VMW sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $VMW →
⚡ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked • Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $VMW Sheet
#1 • $COIN R/R 3.4 : 1
Coinbase Global, Inc.
IN
$151.50
STOP
$144.40
OUT
$164.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.5 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.26% to +14.29% | Stop: -4.06%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.8 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +14.44% to +29.43% | Stop: -7.36%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.45 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 2.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$63 Bull$49 Base$39 Bear
📬 FREE VMW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VMW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VMW SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.2% FCF Margin ($88.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$44.13+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$45.59+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$46.07+5.3% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$48.50+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VMW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, VMW faces multiple-compression risk if 21.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.56) or 200D SMA ($44.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($49.37) toward Bear Floor ($38.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VMW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VMW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your VMW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $48.50: 206.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $38.51
$7,940
$-2,060 (-20.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $49.37
$10,179
+$179 (+1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $63.15
$13,021
+$3,021 (+30.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$5174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$5969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$4458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VMW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
VMW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.37%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-05O $49.27H $49.87L $49.02C $48.50VOL 18.50M
RES: $51.09SUP: $47.82🎯 Entry / Stop & Top 3 Trades ↑SMA50: $48.66SMA200: $48.63
$51.20$49.90$48.61$47.31$46.01RES $51.09SUP $47.82$48.502026-09-062026-09-212026-10-062026-10-212026-11-05
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VMW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VMW Butterfly Map → + Track VMW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VMW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VMW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VMW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VMW)

US Equity Rank #1 of 0 ⚔️ MGRC vs VMW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head US Equity Peer Comparison (VMW vs. MGRC, AXTI, FSK, HWKN)

Industry: Public Equity (0 Tracked Issuers)

Across 0 tracked US Equity securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VMW Corp. (VMW) ranks #1 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #1 by equity capitalization ($3.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGRC leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while MGRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 48.2% gross margin. HWKN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with VMW at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VMW ACTIVE
VMW Corp.
C 62/100 21.4x — — +0.45% $3.15B Benchmark Subject
MGRC
McGrath RentCorp
C+ 67/100 18.6x 48.2% 15.6% -0.04% $3.15B /mgrc-vs-vmw →
AXTI
AXT Inc
D- 36/100 — 12.7% -5.4% -7.38% $3.16B /axti-vs-vmw →
FSK
FS KKR Capital Corp.
D 51/100 — — 0.2% +2.97% $3.16B /fsk-vs-vmw →
HWKN
Hawkins Inc.
B- 70/100 39.2x 22.6% 12.4% +2.04% $3.16B /hwkn-vs-vmw →

2. VMW Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

VMW Corp. (VMW) operates in Public Equity (US Equity) with an equity capitalization of $3.15B, trailing P/E of 21.4x, forward P/E of 18.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.6x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. VMW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VMW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-05, VMW Corp. (NASDAQ: VMW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $48.50 (+0.45% 1D, market cap $3.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 0 tracked US Equity issuers, VMW ranks #1 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VMW compare to MGRC and AXTI in the US Equity sector?

Within the US Equity sector (Public Equity), VMW carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $3.15B) and AXTI (AXT Inc) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.4%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGRC leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while MGRC leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VMW?

For VMW Corp. (VMW), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in US Equity with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #1 in US Equity, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.1%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VMW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VMW last traded at $48.50 (+0.45% on volume of 720,000 shares), positioning the stock +3.09% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.05) and +8.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.62). Across its 52-week range of $35.89 to $60.14, VMW sits at the 52.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($46.41 to $50.59).

Direct Sub-Reports: VMW RQD Cockpit VMW 12M Forecast VMW Earnings & Move VMW Dividends & DRIP VMW Insiders & 13F VMW Whale Options VMW Profit Sankey VMW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VMW — VMW Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-05

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

VMW Corp. (VMW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $48.50 (+0.45% 1D, market capitalization $3.15B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.12x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of 0.58x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

VMW Corp. (VMW) operates in the Public Equity industry (US Equity sector) with an equity capitalization of $3.15B, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and return on invested capital (ROIC) of —.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 62/100): Established market leader in US Equity with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.89 – $60.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 21.4x trailing P/E and 14.6x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.12x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Public Equity (US Equity), VMW carries a macro regime beta of 1.12 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can VMW sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Public Equity peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $60.14 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VMW's 18.2x forward P/E multiple to US Equity capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.12x)?

VMW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for VMW Corp. (VMW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 0 Active Posts & Replies

VMW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $48.50?

🐂 0% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VMW 🐻 100% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VMW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
LIVE TAPE