CTRI (47) NEXT (39) BKV (49) GFR (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) (VET) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$13.51 -0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.46

Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) (VET) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.07B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.46 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VET)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VET SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 83% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$11.87+11.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$13.20+5.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$13.92-2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$13.51+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VET Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, VET faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.62) or 200D SMA ($11.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.51) toward Bear Floor ($10.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VET• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VET Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (VET)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for VET.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VET)

✓Walkthrough of VET's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VET // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.30%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $13.62H $13.85L $13.51C $13.51VOL 1.12M

RES: $14.44SUP: $12.15SMA50: $12.62SMA200: $11.62

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VET Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VET Butterfly Map → + Track VET →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VET today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VET. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VET today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VET)

Energy Rank #108 of 211 ⚔️ CTRI vs VET Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (VET vs. CTRI, NEXT, BKV, GFR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) (VET) ranks #108 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #118 by equity capitalization ($2.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKV leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while BKV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VET currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VET ACTIVE Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$2.07B	Benchmark Subject
CTRI Centuri Holdings Inc.	D	47/100	97.1x	8.3%	5.0%	+2.67%	$2.17B	/ctri-vs-vet →
NEXT NextDecade Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	-2.1%	+11.52%	$1.93B	/next-vs-vet →
BKV BKV Corporation	D	49/100	12.8x	—	9.0%	-1.09%	$2.29B	/bkv-vs-vet →
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-2.02%	$1.63B	/gfr-vs-vet →

2. VET Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) (VET) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $2.07B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. VET Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) (NYSE: VET) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $13.51 (-0.95% 1D, market cap $2.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VET ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VET compare to CTRI and NEXT in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VET carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CTRI (Centuri Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 97.1x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $2.17B) and NEXT (NextDecade Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $1.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VET?

For Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) (VET), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #108 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VET trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VET last traded at $13.51 (-0.95% on volume of 1,191,347 shares), positioning the stock +7.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.62) and +16.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.62). Across its 52-week range of $7.22 to $14.82, VET sits at the 82.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($12.44 to $14.58).

VET Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is VET's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for VET.

Direct Sub-Reports: VET RQD Cockpit VET 12M Forecast VET Earnings & Move VET Dividends & DRIP VET Insiders & 13F VET Whale Options VET Profit Sankey VET News & Why