INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, INNOVATE Corp. (NYSE: VATE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $5.80 (-3.49% 1D, market cap $79.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, VATE ranks #337 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), VATE carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, ZKIN (ZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $80.2M) and AIOS (AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.9%, cap $77.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VATE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VATE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per VATE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001006837), INNOVATE Corp. generated $1.25B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), -$60.6M in net income, and $146.6M in free cash flow against $950.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.8% FCF Margin ($146.6M FCF) & 16% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While VATE currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.98) and Max Pain ($6.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.37.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) dropped -3.49% to $5.80, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($3.75 – $21.3). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Gainers Ultralife (NASDAQ:ULBI) shares moved upwards by 144.7% to $15.56 during Wednesday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $105.9 million. Elong Power Holding (NASDAQ:ELPW) shares moved
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VATE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VATE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) ranks #337 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #384 by equity capitalization ($79.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VATE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while VATE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. ZJK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with VATE at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VATE
ACTIVE
INNOVATE Corp. | D- | 41/100 | — | 16.0% | 85.0% | -3.49% | $79.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| ZKIN ZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share | D- | 43/100 | — | 5.7% | — | -7.28% | $80.2M | /zkin-vs-vate → |
| AIOS AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | 72.0% | 29.9% | -0.95% | $77.6M | /aios-vs-vate → |
| ZJK ZJK Industrial Co. Ltd. (Class A) | C | 62/100 | — | 43.7% | 25.7% | -6.25% | $96.5M | /zjk-vs-vate → |
| TPCS TechPrecision Corporation | E | 31/100 | — | 15.7% | -10.6% | +0.73% | $56.0M | /tpcs-vs-vate → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.25B (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and -12.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.6M, operating cash flow of $146.6M, and free cash flow of $146.6M (+1580.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, VATE closed FY2025 with $950.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.25B | -$60.6M | $146.6M | $146.6M | $950.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.11B | -$34.6M | $9.1M | -$9.9M | $891.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.42B | -$35.2M | $26.5M | $26.5M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, INNOVATE Corp. (NYSE: VATE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $5.80 (-3.49% 1D, market cap $79.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, VATE ranks #337 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), VATE carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, ZKIN (ZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $80.2M) and AIOS (AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.9%, cap $77.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VATE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VATE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per VATE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001006837), INNOVATE Corp. generated $1.25B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), -$60.6M in net income, and $146.6M in free cash flow against $950.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
VATE last traded at $5.80 (-3.49% on volume of 73,133 shares), positioning the stock -16.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.98) and -35.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.94). Across its 52-week range of $3.75 to $21.30, VATE sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.08 to $6.52).
Why VATE Stock dropped -3.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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