Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$51.51 +0.63% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.69

Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $277.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VABK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (NASDAQ: VABK) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $51.51 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $277.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, VABK ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VABK compare to FXNC and LCNB in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), VABK carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 10.5%. By comparison, FXNC (First National Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $279.7M) and LCNB (LCNB Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $284.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OVLY leads on earnings multiple (9.4x) while OVLY leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VABK?
β–Ό

Per VABK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572334), Virginia National Bankshares Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $19.3M in net income, and $20.8M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.69 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$64 Bull$55 Base$42 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE VABK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VABK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY VABK SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($20.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$49.23+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$49.37-0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$49.15+4.8% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$51.51+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VABK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, VABK faces multiple-compression risk if 14.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.36) or 200D SMA ($43.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.52) toward Bear Floor ($42.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VABKβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œVABK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

VABK Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (VABK)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on VABK. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VABK Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VABK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.63%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $48.69H $51.51L $48.69C $51.51VOL 13.7K
RES: $53.27SUP: $47.89SMA50: $48.36SMA200: $43.92
$53.69$49.83$45.97$42.10$38.24RES $53.27SUP $47.89$51.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VABK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VABK today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VABK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VABK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VABK)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (VABK vs. FXNC, LCNB, OVBC, OVLY)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) ranks #111 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #829 by equity capitalization ($277.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OVLY leads on earnings valuation at 9.4x trailing P/E, while OVLY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. VABK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VABK ACTIVE
Virginia National Bankshares Corporation
B- 71/100 14.4x β€” 10.5% +0.63% $277.7M Benchmark Subject
FXNC
First National Corporation
C+ 67/100 15.8x β€” 9.5% -1.52% $279.7M /fxnc-vs-vabk β†’
LCNB
LCNB Corporation
C 65/100 12.3x β€” 8.4% -1.05% $284.1M /lcnb-vs-vabk β†’
OVBC
Ohio Valley Banc Corp.
B- 70/100 17.3x β€” 9.2% -1.21% $269.4M /ovbc-vs-vabk β†’
OVLY
Oak Valley Bancorp (CA)
C+ 66/100 9.4x β€” 14.8% -0.14% $290.1M /ovly-vs-vabk β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001572334

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $19.3M, operating cash flow of $21.3M, and free cash flow of $20.8M (+42.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VABK closed FY2025 with $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $19.3M $21.3M $20.8M $1.65B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $0 $15.3M $14.6M $1.62B β€”

3. VABK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VABK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (NASDAQ: VABK) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $51.51 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $277.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, VABK ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VABK compare to FXNC and LCNB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), VABK carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 10.5%. By comparison, FXNC (First National Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $279.7M) and LCNB (LCNB Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $284.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OVLY leads on earnings multiple (9.4x) while OVLY leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VABK?

Per VABK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572334), Virginia National Bankshares Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $19.3M in net income, and $20.8M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VABK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VABK last traded at $51.51 (+0.63% on volume of 124,200 shares), positioning the stock +6.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.36) and +17.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.92). Across its 52-week range of $37.35 to $52.76, VABK sits at the 91.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.4% ($48.21 to $54.81).

VABK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are VABK insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies VABK leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 71/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VABK β€” Virginia National Bankshares Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline
As of: 2026-11-02T14:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) carries a composite score of 71/100 (B- β€” Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) at a current price of $51.51 (+0.63%). Fundamental cash generation scores 14/20 (ROIC 10.5%, FCF yield 7.47%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 14/20, insider conviction scores 16/20, macro regime alignment scores 14/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 13/20 (Altman Z-Score N/A, Piotroski F-Score 4/9).

Investor Implication: At 14.4x trailing P/E and 13.4x forward P/E within Major Banks, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (β€”) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $37.35 – $52.76.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Major Banks (Financials), VABK is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin β€”), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

VABK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to VABK Debate Forum (3) ↓
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πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VABK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $51.51?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VABK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VABK:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $60.40 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VABK (B- β€’ RQD 71/100) a Buy at $51.19?

Welcome to the VABK (Virginia National Bankshares Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.00 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $51.19

Pump the brakes on VABK β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VABK, but look at what you are paying: 14.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Virginia National Bankshares Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.36 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $51.19

VABK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VABK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $51.19 (52-wk range $37.35 - $52.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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