Universal Corporation (UVV) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$41.01 +3.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.20

Universal Corporation (UVV) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.02B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.20 (+0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (13)SEC (12)Macro (17)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$62 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE UVV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UVV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UVV SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.8% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$42.00-3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$40.67-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$39.29+4.4% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$41.01+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UVV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, UVV faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.95) or 200D SMA ($50.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.49) toward Bear Floor ($33.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UVV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UVV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your UVV Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $41.01: 243.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $33.14
$8,081
$-1,919 (-19.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $42.49
$10,361
+$361 (+3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $62.35
$15,204
+$5,204 (+52.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$5969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UVV Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
UVV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $41.40H $41.74L $40.90C $41.01VOL 514.3K
RES: $56.81SUP: $37.31SMA50: $42.95SMA200: $50.35
$57.17$52.00$46.84$41.67$36.51RES $56.81SUP $37.31$41.012026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UVV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UVV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UVV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UVV)

Industrials Rank #107 of 485 ⚔️ ANDE vs UVV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (UVV vs. ANDE, SEB, AVO, BV)

Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universal Corporation (UVV) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #253 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BV leads on earnings valuation at 19.2x trailing P/E, while AVO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 11.6% gross margin. UVV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UVV ACTIVE
Universal Corporation
C+ 66/100 — 16.4% 6.6% +3.69% $1.02B Benchmark Subject
ANDE
Andersons Inc.
D+ 55/100 22.2x 46.6% 7.7% -2.72% $2.12B /ande-vs-uvv →
SEB
Seaboard Corporation
C- 60/100 — 7.1% 3.1% +0.11% $3.71B /seb-vs-uvv →
AVO
Mission Produce Inc.
C- 60/100 27.0x 11.6% 8.1% +0.52% $1.02B /avo-vs-uvv →
BV
BrightView Holdings Inc.
C- 60/100 19.2x 23.3% 5.3% +6.72% $1.07B /bv-vs-uvv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000102037

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Universal Corporation (UVV) reported GAAP revenue of $2.89B (-1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.92B , and +6.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $32.6K, operating cash flow of $129.1M, and free cash flow of $80.3M (-69.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, UVV closed FY2025 with $3.02B in total assets against $616.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.68, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $2.89B $32.6K $129.1M $80.3M $3.02B $616.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $2.92B $95.0K $327.0M $264.4M $3.04B $617.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $2.72B $119.6K -$74.6M -$74.6M — —

3. UVV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Universal Corporation (NYSE: UVV) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $41.01 (+3.69% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, UVV ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UVV compare to ANDE and SEB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), UVV carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.4%, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, ANDE (Andersons Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 22.2x, ROIC 7.7%, cap $2.12B) and SEB (Seaboard Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $3.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BV leads on earnings multiple (19.2x) while AVO leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UVV?

Per UVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000102037), Universal Corporation generated $2.89B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), $32.6K in net income, and $80.3M in free cash flow against $3.02B in total assets and $616.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UVV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UVV last traded at $41.01 (+3.69% on volume of 305,532 shares), positioning the stock -4.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($42.95) and -18.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($50.35). Across its 52-week range of $38.11 to $59.38, UVV sits at the 13.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($38.75 to $43.27).

UVV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is UVV's 12-month stock price target?

Universal Corporation (UVV) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $42.49 (+3.6% from $41.01), with a bull-case target of $62.35 and a bear-case floor of $33.14.

Is UVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates UVV C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 66/100.

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