MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why UTI Stock surged +6.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$23.61 +6.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.95
Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $1.30B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.95 (+1.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UTI SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 10% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$20.64-0.3% Next Q
67
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$20.58+6.2% Next Q
70
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$21.85+8.1% Next Q
72
CurrentGrade B$23.61+7.4% Hist 90D α
75
Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UTI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, UTI faces multiple-compression risk if 20.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.88) or 200D SMA ($32.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.42) toward Bear Floor ($19.36).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why UTI Stock surged +6.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) surged +6.59% to $23.61, trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($18.02 – $51.34). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($18.02 – $51.34) with RSI-14 at 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.7% around $23.61 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $55.4M annual free cash flow.
Live UTI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UTI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
UTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.09%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $23.32H $23.61L $22.28C $23.61VOL 1.83M
RES: $40.52SUP: $14.91SMA50: $20.88SMA200: $32.32
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
UTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +14.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UTI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UTI)
Real Estate Rank #9 of 51
⚔️ STRA vs UTI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (UTI vs. STRA, AFYA, PXED, PRDO)
Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #14 by equity capitalization ($1.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRDO leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while UTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.3% ROIC and — gross margin. UTI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTI
ACTIVE
Universal Technical Institute Inc | B | 75/100 | 20.6x | — | 19.3% | +6.59% | $1.30B | Benchmark Subject |
| STRA Strategic Education Inc. | B | 72/100 | 13.6x | — | 9.1% | +0.34% | $1.73B | /stra-vs-uti → |
| AFYA Afya Limited (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.68% | $953.2M | /afya-vs-uti → |
| PXED Phoenix Education Partners Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +2.30% | $896.5M | /pxed-vs-uti → |
| PRDO Perdoceo Education Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 12.3x | — | 18.0% | -0.32% | $1.96B | /prdo-vs-uti → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001261654In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) reported GAAP revenue of $835.6M (+14.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $732.7M , and +37.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $63.0M, operating cash flow of $97.3M, and free cash flow of $55.4M (-10.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, UTI closed FY2025 with $834.0M in total assets against $98.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.14, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $835.6M | $63.0M | $97.3M | $55.4M | $834.0M | $98.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $732.7M | $42.0M | $85.9M | $61.6M | $753.8M | $117.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $607.4M | $12.3M | $49.1M | $49.1M | — | — |
3. UTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Universal Technical Institute Inc (NYSE: UTI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $23.61 (+6.59% 1D, market cap $1.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, UTI ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UTI compare to STRA and AFYA in the Real Estate sector?
Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), UTI carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.3%. By comparison, STRA (Strategic Education Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $1.73B) and AFYA (Afya Limited (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $953.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while UTI leads on capital efficiency (19.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UTI?
Per UTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001261654), Universal Technical Institute Inc generated $835.6M in revenue (+14.0% YoY), $63.0M in net income, and $55.4M in free cash flow against $834.0M in total assets and $98.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UTI last traded at $23.61 (+6.59% on volume of 2,141,192 shares), positioning the stock +13.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.88) and -26.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.32). Across its 52-week range of $18.02 to $51.34, UTI sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($21.32 to $25.90).
UTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is UTI stock moving today?
Why UTI Stock surged +6.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.