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Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$23.61 +6.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.95

Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.30B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.95 (+1.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY UTI SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 10% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$20.64-0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$20.58+6.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$21.85+8.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B$23.61+7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, UTI faces multiple-compression risk if 20.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.88) or 200D SMA ($32.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.42) toward Bear Floor ($19.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “UTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your UTI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $23.61: 423.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $19.36

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $25.42

$10,767

+$767 (+7.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $53.91

$22,834

+$12,834 (+128.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$26	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$51	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$22	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UTI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

UTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.09%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $23.32H $23.61L $22.28C $23.61VOL 1.83M

RES: $40.52SUP: $14.91SMA50: $20.88SMA200: $32.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UTI Butterfly Map → + Track UTI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UTI)

Real Estate Rank #9 of 51 ⚔️ STRA vs UTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (UTI vs. STRA, AFYA, PXED, PRDO)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #14 by equity capitalization ($1.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRDO leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while UTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.3% ROIC and — gross margin. UTI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
UTI ACTIVE Universal Technical Institute Inc	B	75/100	20.6x	—	19.3%	+6.59%	$1.30B	Benchmark Subject
STRA Strategic Education Inc.	B	72/100	13.6x	—	9.1%	+0.34%	$1.73B	/stra-vs-uti →
AFYA Afya Limited (Class A)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.68%	$953.2M	/afya-vs-uti →
PXED Phoenix Education Partners Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+2.30%	$896.5M	/pxed-vs-uti →
PRDO Perdoceo Education Corporation	B-	70/100	12.3x	—	18.0%	-0.32%	$1.96B	/prdo-vs-uti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001261654

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) reported GAAP revenue of $835.6M (+14.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $732.7M , and +37.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $63.0M, operating cash flow of $97.3M, and free cash flow of $55.4M (-10.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, UTI closed FY2025 with $834.0M in total assets against $98.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.14, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$835.6M	$63.0M	$97.3M	$55.4M	$834.0M	$98.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$732.7M	$42.0M	$85.9M	$61.6M	$753.8M	$117.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$607.4M	$12.3M	$49.1M	$49.1M	—	—

3. UTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Universal Technical Institute Inc (NYSE: UTI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $23.61 (+6.59% 1D, market cap $1.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, UTI ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UTI compare to STRA and AFYA in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), UTI carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.3%. By comparison, STRA (Strategic Education Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $1.73B) and AFYA (Afya Limited (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $953.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while UTI leads on capital efficiency (19.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UTI?

Per UTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001261654), Universal Technical Institute Inc generated $835.6M in revenue (+14.0% YoY), $63.0M in net income, and $55.4M in free cash flow against $834.0M in total assets and $98.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UTI last traded at $23.61 (+6.59% on volume of 2,141,192 shares), positioning the stock +13.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.88) and -26.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.32). Across its 52-week range of $18.02 to $51.34, UTI sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($21.32 to $25.90).

UTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is UTI's 12-month stock price target?

Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $25.42 (+7.7% from $23.61), with a bull-case target of $53.91 and a bear-case floor of $19.36.

Is UTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates UTI B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 75/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: UTI RQD Cockpit UTI 12M Forecast UTI Earnings & Move UTI Dividends & DRIP UTI Insiders & 13F UTI Whale Options UTI Profit Sankey UTI News & Why