MARKET WIREReuters • 59m ago
Iranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says - ReutersIranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says Reuters
Why USBC Stock dropped -6.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.41 -6.03% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.40
USBC Inc. (USBC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $169.2M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on USBC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is USBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, USBC Inc. (NYSE: USBC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $0.41 (-6.03% 1D, market cap $169.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, USBC ranks #892 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does USBC compare to EXOD and NSLR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), USBC carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -18.4%. By comparison, EXOD (Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $170.3M) and NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $158.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOA leads on earnings multiple (4.0x) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USBC?
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Per USBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001074828), USBC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.1M in net income, and -$7.6M in free cash flow against $93.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.40 (-1.28%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USBC SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (35% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$0.51-13.7% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$0.44+0% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$0.44-6.8% Next Q
46
CurrentGrade D-$0.41-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USBC Turnaround Squeeze
While USBC currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.48) and Max Pain ($0.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.05.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why USBC Stock dropped -6.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
USBC Inc. (USBC) dropped -6.03% to $0.41, trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($0.29 – $1). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-18% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($0.29 – $1) with RSI-14 at 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.41 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live USBC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 1h ago
China's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict - ReutersChina's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Saudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities - ReutersSaudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
World's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says - ReutersWorld's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Gold rebounds from one-year low as oil slides ahead of US midterms - ReutersGold rebounds from one-year low as oil slides ahead of US midterms Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
China's Xi says Middle East should not become battleground for great power rivalry - ReutersChina's Xi says Middle East should not become battleground for great power rivalry Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Reliance earnings, lower oil prices power India's Sensex to near two-month high - ReutersReliance earnings, lower oil prices power India's Sensex to near two-month high Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USBC)
- ✓Walkthrough of USBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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USBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.81%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $0.42H $0.44L $0.41C $0.41VOL 117.2K
RES: $0.58SUP: $0.41SMA50: $0.48SMA200: $0.41
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
USBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USBC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USBC)
Financials Rank #892 of 1096
⚔️ EXOD vs USBC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (USBC vs. EXOD, NSLR, FOA, TONX)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, USBC Inc. (USBC) ranks #892 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #913 by equity capitalization ($169.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOA leads on earnings valuation at 4.0x trailing P/E, while NSLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.8% ROIC and — gross margin. NSLR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with USBC at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USBC
ACTIVE
USBC Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -18.4% | -6.03% | $169.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| EXOD Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | — | -4.6% | -8.69% | $170.3M | /exod-vs-usbc → |
| NSLR Neostellar Capital Corp. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 23.8% | -0.84% | $158.3M | /nslr-vs-usbc → |
| FOA Finance of America Companies Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 54/100 | 4.0x | — | 11.4% | +0.10% | $181.5M | /foa-vs-usbc → |
| TONX TON Strategy Company | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -7.8% | -7.27% | $181.7M | /tonx-vs-usbc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001074828In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), USBC Inc. (USBC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$22.1M, operating cash flow of -$7.6M, and free cash flow of -$7.6M (+41.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, USBC closed FY2025 with $93.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $0 | -$22.1M | -$7.6M | -$7.6M | $93.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $0 | -$16.6M | -$12.8M | -$12.9M | $1.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $0 | -$15.3M | -$10.4M | -$10.4M | — | — |
3. USBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs USBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, USBC Inc. (NYSE: USBC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $0.41 (-6.03% 1D, market cap $169.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, USBC ranks #892 in composite RQD confidence.
How does USBC compare to EXOD and NSLR in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), USBC carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -18.4%. By comparison, EXOD (Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $170.3M) and NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $158.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOA leads on earnings multiple (4.0x) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USBC?
Per USBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001074828), USBC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.1M in net income, and -$7.6M in free cash flow against $93.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is USBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
USBC last traded at $0.41 (-6.03% on volume of 177,756 shares), positioning the stock -14.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.48) and 0.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.41). Across its 52-week range of $0.29 to $1.00, USBC sits at the 16.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.46).
USBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is USBC stock moving today?
Why USBC Stock dropped -6.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-18% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.