MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why USAU Stock slipped -0.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.40 -0.78% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.36
U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $188.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.36 (-0.33%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USAU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USAU SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (32% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$13.77-14% Next Q
46
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$11.84-10% Next Q
43
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$10.66+6.9% Next Q
41
CurrentGrade D-$11.40-7.8% Hist 90D α
38
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USAU Turnaround Squeeze
While USAU currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.21) and Max Pain ($11.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.94.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USAU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USAU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why USAU Stock slipped -0.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) slipped -0.78% to $11.40, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($10.44 – $23.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($10.44 – $23.75) with RSI-14 at 28.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.6% around $11.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live USAU Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USAU)
- ✓Walkthrough of USAU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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USAU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.57%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $11.02H $11.40L $10.58C $11.40VOL 159.8K
RES: $16.69SUP: $10.32SMA50: $14.21SMA200: $15.68
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
USAU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USAU today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USAU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USAU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USAU)
Materials Rank #229 of 270
⚔️ REA vs USAU Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USAU vs. REA, GMTL, LZM, NICM)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #214 by equity capitalization ($188.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USAU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USAU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with USAU at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USAU
ACTIVE
U.S. Gold Corp. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -28.5% | -0.78% | $188.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| REA Rare Earths Americas Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +5.67% | $183.4M | /rea-vs-usau → |
| GMTL Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +13.33% | $216.3M | /gmtl-vs-usau → |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Limited | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +1.40% | $326.4M | /lzm-vs-usau → |
| NICM Nicola Mining Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +12.42% | $107.6M | /nicm-vs-usau → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000027093In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$17.2M, operating cash flow of -$18.2M, and free cash flow of -$18.2M (-84.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, USAU closed FY2025 with $54.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-04-30 | $0 | -$17.2M | -$18.2M | -$18.2M | $54.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-04-30 | $0 | -$20.6M | -$9.9M | -$9.9M | $26.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-04-30 | $0 | -$6.9M | -$7.1M | -$7.1M | — | — |
3. USAU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs USAU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $11.40 (-0.78% 1D, market cap $188.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USAU ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.
How does USAU compare to REA and GMTL in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), USAU carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, REA (Rare Earths Americas Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $183.4M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USAU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USAU?
Per USAU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000027093), U.S. Gold Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$17.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $54.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is USAU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
USAU last traded at $11.40 (-0.78% on volume of 106,554 shares), positioning the stock -19.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.21) and -27.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.68). Across its 52-week range of $10.44 to $23.75, USAU sits at the 7.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($10.19 to $12.61).
USAU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is USAU stock moving today?
Why USAU Stock slipped -0.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.