REA (57) GMTL (60) LZM (61) NICM (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell USAU stock right now?

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is USAU's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

USAU's 12-month base price target is $10.37 (range $8.09 to $24.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$11.40 -0.78% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.36

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $188.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.36 (-0.33%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USAU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY USAU SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.77-14% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$11.84-10% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$10.66+6.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$11.40-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USAU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While USAU currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.21) and Max Pain ($11.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USAU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “USAU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

28.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE

L: $10$11.40H: $24

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on USAU

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (20)

-28.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -9.67% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like USAU

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USAU)

✓Walkthrough of USAU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

USAU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.57%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $11.02H $11.40L $10.58C $11.40VOL 159.8K

RES: $16.69SUP: $10.32SMA50: $14.21SMA200: $15.68

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USAU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 USAU Butterfly Map → + Track USAU →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USAU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USAU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USAU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USAU)

Materials Rank #229 of 270 ⚔️ REA vs USAU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USAU vs. REA, GMTL, LZM, NICM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #214 by equity capitalization ($188.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USAU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USAU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with USAU at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
USAU ACTIVE U.S. Gold Corp.	D-	38/100	—	—	-28.5%	-0.78%	$188.4M	Benchmark Subject
REA Rare Earths Americas Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	+5.67%	$183.4M	/rea-vs-usau →
GMTL Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+13.33%	$216.3M	/gmtl-vs-usau →
LZM Lifezone Metals Limited	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.40%	$326.4M	/lzm-vs-usau →
NICM Nicola Mining Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+12.42%	$107.6M	/nicm-vs-usau →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000027093

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$17.2M, operating cash flow of -$18.2M, and free cash flow of -$18.2M (-84.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, USAU closed FY2025 with $54.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-04-30	$0	-$17.2M	-$18.2M	-$18.2M	$54.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-04-30	$0	-$20.6M	-$9.9M	-$9.9M	$26.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-04-30	$0	-$6.9M	-$7.1M	-$7.1M	—	—

3. USAU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USAU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $11.40 (-0.78% 1D, market cap $188.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USAU ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USAU compare to REA and GMTL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), USAU carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, REA (Rare Earths Americas Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $183.4M) and GMTL (Guardian Metal Resources PLC ADS) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USAU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USAU leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USAU?

Per USAU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000027093), U.S. Gold Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$17.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $54.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USAU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USAU last traded at $11.40 (-0.78% on volume of 106,554 shares), positioning the stock -19.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.21) and -27.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.68). Across its 52-week range of $10.44 to $23.75, USAU sits at the 7.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($10.19 to $12.61).

USAU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell USAU stock right now?

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is USAU's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

USAU's 12-month base price target is $10.37 (range $8.09 to $24.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: USAU RQD Cockpit USAU 12M Forecast USAU Earnings & Move USAU Dividends & DRIP USAU Insiders & 13F USAU Whale Options USAU Profit Sankey USAU News & Why